WARSAW, May 23 (Reuters) - The Polish zloty weakened on
Thursday, easing for a second day from a multi-year high as
weaker than expected retail sales data added to the pressure
from a firming dollar.
The dollar hovered near a one-week high on Thursday, a day
after its biggest jump this month against a basket of peers
following minutes of the last Fed meeting that showed some
officials were willing to raise interest rates.
In Poland, data on Thursday showed retail sales rising less
than expected in April, which according to analysts could
increase market expectations for Poland's central bank to resume
easing earlier.
By 0840 GMT the zloty was down 0.3% against the euro to
4.2745, pulling back from the 4.25 level hit on Monday, its
strongest since February 2020.
"This movement started on the eurodollar yesterday. There,
technical indicators had already suggested that the zloty may
weaken and on top of that there's today's disappointment in
retail sales," ING Bank Slaski economist Piotr Poplawski said.
"I think the market is simply focusing on the fact that if
consumer demand is not as strong as people expect, maybe the
Monetary Policy Council will start reducing these rates sooner."
Poplawski said the zloty could slip more this week but only
slightly, owing to market expectations that the National Bank of
Poland (NBP) would ease less than the European Central Bank
(ECB) and to the fact that Poland has a trade surplus.
"There is a risk of the zloty weakening, but I would not
treat it as a change in trend or anything big."
Earlier in May, NBP governor Adam Glapinski said discussions
on easing could only start in early 2025, provided the prospects
for inflation were conducive, after rate-setters kept borrowing
costs steady for a seventh month running.
In Hungary, the forint held flat at 387.30, off of
its 3-1/2-month high hit on Tuesday.
"We got what we expected during and after the rate cut on
Tuesday - there was some profit-taking following the movement of
the eurodollar exchange rate, that explains the forint's
weakening yesterday" a Budapest-based trader said.
"385 proved to be a firm boundary for the firming of the
forint now."
The Czech crown edged up 0.1%, range trading off
of a four month high hit a week ago.
CEE SNAPSHO AT
MARKETS T 1040
CET
CURRENC
IES
Latest Previou Daily Change
s
bid close change in 2024
Czech Hungary 0 0
Polish Romania Note: calculat 1800 CET
daily ed from
change
Latest Previou Daily Change
s
close change in 2024
Prague 1571.55 1574.12 -0.16% +11.14%
00
Budapes 68195.2 67957.0 +0.35% +12.50%
t 8 8
Warsaw 2534.70 2552.70 -0.71% +8.18%
Buchare 17460.1 17494.4 -0.20% +13.59%
st 1 7
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republi
c
Poland