WARSAW, June 18 (Reuters) - The forint held steady on
Tuesday away from a three-month low it hit last week, ahead of
the Hungarian central bank's meeting that is widely expected to
result in a continued rate-cut drive.
The National Bank of Hungary (NBH), which began easing its
base interest rate in October, is expected to trim a further 25
basis points off the current 7.25% on Tuesday, according to a
slim majority of respondents in Reuters poll, while the rest
forecast a 50 basis point cut.
By 0846 GMT the Hungarian forint was flat at 396
per euro, holding on to Monday's gains which saw it pulling away
from its weakest level since mid March at the end of last week.
"Today the focus is on the NBH interest rate decision, until
then it (EURHUF) may remain on the sidelines," MBH Bank said in
a note.
"In our view, with the forint weakening again more strongly
in recent days and the Fed's expected rate cut postponed, the
MNB will be cautious and will only cut rates by 25bps."
Monday's session gave some respite to the region's
currencies, after the strengthening of the dollar this month,
supported last week by a more hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve and
the fallout of European Parliament elections that pressured
riskier assets, including Central European currencies.
The Polish zloty slipped 0.1% against the euro to
4.3480, also largely keeping the previous day's gains after
hitting its weakest level since late January on Friday.
"Yesterday's trading on the local FX suggests that the
domestic currency (zloty) should now be less sensitive to
negative external signals," Poland's state-owned development
bank BGK wrote in a note.
"Today, we expect a relatively calm session in the range of
PLN 4.34-4.36 per euro."
The Czech crown traded 0.1% lower at 24.7450, remaining
anchored around stronger levels, with market focus turned toward
the Czech central bank rate meeting next week at which
policymakers are expected to slow rate cuts.
Czech central bank Vice-Governor Eva Zamrazilova said in a
Reuters interview on Monday that she would decide between a 25
bps and 50 bps interest rate cut, after assessing the effects of
a firmer crown versus still strong growth in services prices.
CSOB said the crown was staying stuck around the 24.70 per
euro level.
"Producer price data released (on Monday) did not surprise
and generally confirmed the disinflationary tendencies in the
domestic economy," CSOB said.
"This is good news for the central bank towards further
easing of monetary policy... Uncertainty about the June vote is
high, but we still cautiously lean toward a 25 bp rate cut."
CEE SNAPSHO AT
MARKETS T 1046 CET
CURRENC
IES
Latest Previous Daily Change
bid close change in 2024
Czech Hungary 0
Polish Romanian Note: calculat 1800
daily ed from CET
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
Prague 1527.10 1521.840 +0.35% +8.00%
0
Budapest 69851.6 69711.91 +0.20% +15.23
2 %
Warsaw 2479.20 2458.79 +0.83% +5.81%
Bucharest 17940.3 17879.99 +0.34% +16.71
0 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
2-year s
5-year s
10-year s
Poland
2-year s
5-year s
10-year s
Note: FRA are for
quotes ask
prices
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(Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw and Boldizsar Gyori in
Budapest; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli)