WARSAW, Dec 3 (Reuters) - Central European currencies
held steady on Tuesday, with the zloty and crown off of
multi-week highs, while the forint hung at its lowest in two
years, as the euro cut some losses against the dollar.
The euro edged up on Tuesday, regaining some poise after
political turmoil in France sent traders scrambling for hedging
protection against further price swings.
Polish rate-setters start a two-day policy meeting on
Tuesday, with all respondents in a Reuters poll expecting their
decision on Wednesday to be no change and markets keen for clues
from the National Bank of Poland governor's press conference on
Thursday on when easing could be resumed.
Poland's main interest rate has been steady since surprise
easing last fall, which along with the release of earlier frozen
European Union funds, has propped up the zloty to outperform
regional peers so far this year.
By 0917 the Polish zloty traded 0.1% lower against
the euro at 4.2920, a touch off of a two-month high of 4.2815
hit on Monday.
"The zloty - in our opinion - will remain under the dominant
influence of the external environment. Although we assume the
dollar will strengthen internationally...the fact that the
EUR/USD decline will be driven by the weakness of the euro will
cause the zloty to gain slightly," Bank Millenium analysts wrote
in a note.
A firming dollar often signals a lower risk appetite,
putting emerging market assets, including Central-Eastern
European currencies, under pressure.
"The durability of this move will be decided by Friday's
data from the American labor market. A 'strong' reading of
non-farm payrolls may change the fate of this week on the złoty
market," Bank Millennium analysts added.
The Czech crown inched 0.1% higher to 25.2250 per
euro, its strongest in more than three weeks.
Meanwhile, the Hungarian forint traded flat at 414.80 per
euro, after touching its weakest level since Dec. 2022.
"CEE FX continues to diverge with HUF weakening further
following Moody's decision to change the rating outlook from
stable to negative and also lower EUR/USD," ING analysts wrote
in a note.
Last week, credit rating agency Moody's revised Hungary's
outlook to "negative" from "stable", saying Hungary could lose
access to billions worth of European Union funds, while a
possible rise in pre-election spending could exacerbate negative
fiscal trends.
Data from Hungary on Tuesday confirmed the economy falling
0.8% year-on-year in the third quarter.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1017 CET
CURRENCI
ES
Latest Previous Daily Change
trade close change in 2024
Czech 25.2250 25.2385 +0.05% -2.08%
crown
Hungary 414.8000 414.9250 +0.03% -7.62%
forint
Polish 4.2920 4.2861 -0.14% +1.22%
zloty
Romanian 4.9770 4.9772 +0.00% -0.05%
leu
Serbian 116.9100 116.9600 +0.04% +0.29%
dinar
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
Prague 1711.66 1704.750 +0.41% +21.05%
0
Budapest 78658.35 78204.33 +0.58% +29.76%
Warsaw 2242.71 2247.36 -0.21% -4.28%
Bucharest 16379.25 16447.31 -0.41% +6.56%
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
2-year 5-year 10-year Poland
2-year 5-year 10-year FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interban
k
Czech Rep Hungary Poland Note: FRA are for ask prices
quotes
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(Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw, Anita Komuves in
Budapest; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli)