WARSAW, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Polish zloty eased a
touch on Wednesday ahead of the central bank's interest rate
decision later in the day, with analysts expecting stable
borrowing costs amid rebounding inflation.
All 29 respondents in a Reuters poll forecast no change in
the National Bank of Poland's monetary policy, meaning the cost
of credit will have remained unchanged since October.
By 1020 GMT the zloty eased 0.1% against the euro
to 4.2820, near the mid point of the firm range it has stayed in
since August.
The Polish currency remains Central Eastern Europe's top
performer, gaining almost 1.5% this year, supported by steady
interest rates and unblocked funds from the European Union.
Analysts will closely scrutinise the Monetary Policy
Council's (MPC) press release following the rate decision and on
Thursday's conference by the NBP governor for signs of when rate
changes could resume.
"On the one hand, in August, Governor (Adam) Glapinski
joined those MPC members who see room for interest rate cuts in
2025, which may translate into a softening of the official
stance of the entire Council," ING BSK said in a note.
"On the other hand, solid GDP data in 2Q24, including
investment growth and further inflation growth in August, and a
higher than previously planned fiscal imbalance in 2024-25 speak
in favor of maintaining a hawkish stance."
In August Glapinski said Polish policymakers could discuss
changing monetary policy before 2026, softening his previous,
more hawkish outlook.
Data last week showed Poland's economic growth picking up
pace in the second quarter, reaching is fastest year-on-year
rate in almost two years on the back of private consumption and
fast wage growth.
Also last week, Poland's draft budget for 2025 forecast the
country's general deficit rising to 5.5% of GDP next year.
In Hungary, the forint firmed 0.2% against the
euro on Wednesday to 393.30, halting its losses after it
weakened about half a percent in the previous session.
"A risk-averse mood appeared in markets yesterday, which
pushed the dollar stronger, ... This mood could continue today,
so I do not expect any big firming in the forint. It might as
well weaken a bit, as far as 394.50," a currency trader in
Budapest said.
Meanwhile, the Czech crown edged up 0.1% to
25.0770 per euro, hovering off of the two-month highs it hit in
August.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1220 CET
CURRENCI
ES
Latest Previous Daily Change
trade close change in 2024
Czech 25.0770 25.1010 +0.10% -1.50%
crown
Hungary 393.3000 394.1500 +0.22% -2.57%
forint
Polish 4.2820 4.2785 -0.08% +1.46%
zloty
Romanian 4.9730 4.9737 +0.01% +0.03%
leu
Serbian 116.9700 117.0200 +0.04% +0.24%
dinar
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
Prague 1584.51 1591.320 -0.43% +12.06%
0
Budapest 72438.79 72982.36 -0.74% +19.50%
Warsaw 2395.41 2409.50 -0.58% +2.24%
Bucharest 18020.21 18111.09 -0.50% +17.23%
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
2-year 5-year 10-year Poland
2-year 5-year 10-year FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interban
k
Czech Rep Hungary Poland Note: FRA are for ask prices
quotes
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