BEIJING, July 10 (Reuters) - Some China solar stocks
jumped sharply on Thursday, continuing a multi-day rise on news
that Beijing wants to dampen aggressive price cutting that has
driven down prices of some components by nearly 30% in the year
to May, according to one estimate.
Overcapacity among Chinese manufacturers and price cuts made
to clear stock have sparked price wars worrying analysts that
more cuts could entrench deflation and hinder efforts to
stabilise the $19-trillion economy.
Shares of top manufacturer JA Solar rose nearly
10%, having gained 20% since July 1, when the top leaders of the
world's second biggest economy vowed measures to halt the price
wars in the solar and other industries.
That step was followed by an industry ministry pledge on
July 3 to curb price wars and phase out outdated capacity in the
solar industry.
Prices in the solar industry have fallen nearly 30% between
May 2024 and May 2025, the Oil Price Information Service (OPIS)
assessment for high-efficiency tunnel oxide passivated contact
(TOPCon) modules shows.
Stock prices of peers Longi Green Energy,
JinkoSolar ( JKS ) and Trina Solar have risen more
than 10% this month. The companies did not respond to Reuters'
requests for comment.
Last week Longi told state media it would commercialise
high-efficiency products sooner to overcome the low-price
dilemma.
Polysilicon has seen an even sharper rise since the
beginning of July, with stocks of Xinjiang Daqo New Energy
and Tongwei both up 29%.
Shares of Shanghai-listed Daqo closed at 26.48 yuan ($3.69)
on Thursday, their highest in nearly seven months. Daqo did not
respond to an emailed request for comment and Tongwei declined
to comment.
"Whether solar share price rises this time will be
sustainable depends on if effective policy is released," Pierre
Lau, managing director of Citi, said in a note on Thursday.
He added that previous initiatives to scale back excess
capacity in the sector had driven up prices as much as 40% in
two weeks in October 2024, to levels that ultimately proved
unsustainable.
Prices were also supported by unconfirmed rumours that the
powerful state planner, the National Development and Reform
Commission (NDRC), held meetings with polysilicon producers
asking them to keep prices above cost level.
NDRC did not respond to a faxed request for comment.
The market price in China is less than $4.50 a kg, below
most manufacturers' cash costs, says consultancy Berneuter
Research.
In addition, Tongwei and polysilicon producing peer GCL
were preparing a plan to set up a new company to buy
up excess factory capacity, media outlet Caixin said, citing
people familiar with the matter.
Prices of polysilicon have risen between 18% and 21% over
the last two weeks, but downstream solar manufacturers are still
resisting the hikes, Citi's Lau said.