By Summer Zhen
HONG KONG, Nov 28 (Reuters) - China's yuan was firmer
against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, as the greenback retreated
from a recent rally on investors' concerns over the risk that
President-elect Donald Trump will start a tariff war that no one
will win.
Interest in making big bets on the dollar also thinned ahead
of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.
Prior to the market opening, the People's Bank of China set
the midpoint rate, around which the yuan is allowed
to trade in a 2% band, at 7.1894 per dollar, its strongest since
Nov. 11 and 333 pips firmer than a Reuters' estimate.
The relatively stable onshore fixing rate through the
gyrations of the dollar indicated "Chinese authorities'
preference for a stable currency for now at least until better
clarity on Trump's tariff policies," Michael Wan, a senior
currency analyst at MUFG Bank said in a note.
Investors are still digesting Trump's pledges to impose a
25% tariff on all products from Mexico and Canada and an
additional 10% tariff on goods from China once he assumes office
in January, which could draw retaliation from those countries.
The move could drag the world's top two economies into a
mutually destructive tariff war, China state media warned on
Wednesday.
Spot yuan opened at 7.2380 per dollar and was
last trading 15 pips firmer than the previous late session close
and 0.78% weaker than the midpoint.
UBS Global Wealth Management expects the yuan to weaken
toward 7.5 against the dollar by the end of 2025 as the trade
war intensifies, even as China's central bank leans against yuan
depreciation by stabilizing its daily fixing rate against the
dollar.
J.P. Morgan economists said the yuan could depreciate
between 10% and 15% amid the tariff pressure in 2025, and
China's economic growth rate could be dragged by 1%.
The offshore yuan traded at 7.2513 yuan per dollar,
down about 0.09% in Asian trade.
The dollar's six-currency index was steadier at
106.2.
LEVELS AT 0338 GMT
INSTR CURRE UP/DO % DAY'S DAY'S
UMENT NT vs WN(-) CHANG HIGH LOW
USD VS. E
PREVI YR-TO
OUS -DATE
CLOSE
%
Spot 7.245 0.02 -1.99 7.238 7.246
yuan 5 5