financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly gain
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly gain
Oct 18, 2024 2:37 AM

Dollar steady on US economic resilience, euro sags

Chinese yuan eyes further stimulus details

Bitcoin gains on 'Trump trade'

Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 0906 GMT

By Tom Westbrook and Amanda Cooper

SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters)

- The dollar was headed for its third weekly gain in a row on Friday, helped by a dovish European Central Bank and strong U.S. data that is pushing out expectations for how fast U.S. rates can fall, particularly if Donald Trump wins the presidency.

A slew of economic data from China, including third-quarter growth figures, was met with a muted response from markets, though subsequent comments from the country's central bank providing further details of Beijing's stimulus measures helped lift Chinese assets broadly.

Data Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending beat expectations last month, which added to the belief among investors that U.S. rates may not need to drop as quickly as many thought just a couple of weeks ago.

The European Central Bank cut euro zone interest rates by a quarter point on Thursday, in line with expectations, in a nod to the deterioration in economic growth across the region.

The euro, which is around its lowest since early August, is heading for its largest three-week decline against the dollar since 2022, down around 3%, as traders are now pricing in back-to-back rate cuts at the ECB's upcoming meetings.

Adding to the dollar's shine was the rising prospect of Trump winning the November election, since his proposed tariff and tax policies are seen as likely to keep U.S. interest rates high.

"I think there is potential for further decline in the euro. The ECB has cut rates and didn't give any hints about cutting in December, but given where inflation is, and given that the economic outlook is deteriorating, they are focussing on attempting to shore up the economy a bit more," City Index market strategist Fiona Cincotta said.

"I see potential for a future drop in the euro towards that $1.08 level," she said.

The euro EUR=EBS was last up 0.1% on the day at $1.08378, having fallen for 14 out of the last 16 sessions.

Separately, four sources close to the matter told Reuters the ECB was likely to cut again in December unless economic data suggests otherwise.

Meanwhile, markets have been disappointed at the lack of further details offered by Chinese authorities on plans to revive the economy, and the yuan CNY=CFXS is headed for its largest weekly fall in more than 13 months against the dollar.

The Chinese currency edged up after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) officially launched the Securities, Fund, and Insurance Swap Facility (SFISF) on Friday and as policymakers signalled the potential for further monetary easing ahead alongside other support measures to prop up the economy.

Those came shortly after Friday's data dump that showed China's third-quarter growth numbers were slightly better than expected, but property investment fell more than 10% in the first nine months of the year. Retail sales and industrial production picked up in September.

"The overall tone is actually not bad, given that the nominal GDP itself has also stabilised," Ho Woei Chen, an economist at UOB, said.

"The focus is actually on what the government is going to do next in terms of the size of the fiscal stimulus."

The offshore yuan CNH=D3 was last at 7.1166, leaving the dollar down 0.27% on the day. The Australian dollar AUD=D3, often used as a more liquid proxy for the yuan, was up 0.26% at $0.6713.

The dollar traded 0.2% down on the day against the yen JPY=EBS at 149.925, having broken above the 150 level this week for the first time since early August.

The pound GBP=D3 was one of the stronger performers against the dollar, rising 0.2% to $1.3037 after UK data showed retail sales grew more than expected in September, offering investors some reassurance about the strength of the British economy.

Bitcoin has got a lift from Trump's prospects BTC= since his administration is seen as taking a softer line on cryptocurrency regulation. It was last at $67,915, up more than 10% since Oct. 10.

World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

(Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook and Rae Wee in Singapore; Editing by Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill and Andrew Heavens)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
CANADA STOCKS-TSX ends flat; investors await trade updates, key earnings
CANADA STOCKS-TSX ends flat; investors await trade updates, key earnings
Jul 21, 2025
(Updates to close) By Nivedita Balu July 21 (Reuters) - Canada's commodity-heavy main stock index closed flat on Monday, as investors await earnings and look for potential trade deals between the U.S. and its key trading partners. The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 2.99 points, or 0.01%, at 27,317.00 and touched a new record high of 27,448.51. In the latest...
EMERGING MARKETS-Latin American currencies gain, stocks mixed with focus on trade
EMERGING MARKETS-Latin American currencies gain, stocks mixed with focus on trade
Jul 21, 2025
* Brazil says U.S. trade deal may not happen before tariff deadline * Brazilian central bank to hold dollar auction * IMF approves $1 billion in funding for Ecuador, dollar bonds up * MSCI's Latin American currencies index flat, stocks off 0.1% (Updates with afternoon trading levels) By Purvi Agarwal and Ragini Mathur July 21 (Reuters) - Most Latin American...
Trading Day: Equity optimism hard to quell
Trading Day: Equity optimism hard to quell
Jul 21, 2025
ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) -TRADING DAY Making sense of the forces driving global markets By Jamie McGeever, Markets Columnist  U.S. and world stocks posted solid gains on Monday as the dollar and bond yields fell, while encouraging corporate earnings and investor optimism that the economic damage from tariffs won't be too severe also boosted risk appetite. More on that below. In...
TSX Closer: The Index Closes Flat Barely Higher Earlier Hitting Record Intraday Highs
TSX Closer: The Index Closes Flat Barely Higher Earlier Hitting Record Intraday Highs
Jul 21, 2025
04:31 PM EDT, 07/21/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The Toronto Stock Exchange returned to winning ways Monday, but only just in the end after hitting record intraday highs and looking like it would re-test last Thursday's record close earlier in the session as rate cut expectations rebuild in Canada. The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed up a modest 2.99 points to 27,317.0,...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved