financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Dollar struggles for direction before Trump's reciprocal tariffs, awaits data
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Dollar struggles for direction before Trump's reciprocal tariffs, awaits data
Apr 1, 2025 1:22 AM

(Reuters) -The dollar struggled for direction on Tuesday as investors braced for reciprocal tariffs that the U.S. President Donald Trump is due to announce on Wednesday.

Markets will monitor the U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the ISM manufacturing index later in the session, both of which could provide further insights into how uncertainty in U.S. trade policy is hurting the economy.

Trump announced late on Sunday that virtually all countries would face new tariffs this week, though he provided no specific details, leaving currency markets in a cautious, subdued state.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said EU was open to negotiations with the U.S. on trade, but would retaliate strongly if necessary.

"We expect the U.S. government to announce some sort of asymmetric reciprocal tariff scheme and 25% tariffs on food and potentially other items like pharma, which might include some exclusions for Canada and Mexico," said Claudio Irigoyen, head of global economics at Bank of America, adding the risks around the base case are huge.

"We expect roughly a one-month delay in implementation, leaving space for negotiation. We think about a third to a half of the announced measures will not get implemented - at least, not for an extended period," he added.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.05% higher at 104.24.

Geopolitical tensions remain in focus as the Chinese military said it conducted drills in waters to the north, south and east of Taiwan on Tuesday.

The euro dropped 0.1% at $1.0805, after gaining 4.5% in the first quarter of the year, its strongest quarterly performance since October-December in 2022, thanks mainly to Germany's commitment to sharply increase fiscal spending.

Investors recently boosted their bets on future European Central Bank rate cuts due to tariff fears and weak economic data, driving bond yields and the single currency lower.

Money markets priced in an approximately 70% chance of an ECB easing move this month, despite cautious remarks from policymakers.

Uncertainty, mainly due to U.S. trade policy announcements, means the ECB needs to be cautious in reducing rates, said governing council member Fabio Panetta, who is seen as dovish.

"We remain generally cautious about following any euro/dollar rally into the tariff event and instead see mostly downside risks, barring any meaningful U.S. data surprise," said Francesco Pesole, forex strategist at ING.

The Japanese yen was 0.01% stronger at 149.92 per dollar on Tuesday. The yen rose nearly 5% against the dollar in the January-March period on growing bets that the Bank of Japan would hike interest rates again.

Data on Tuesday showed business sentiment among big Japanese manufacturers worsened in the three months to March, a sign escalating trade tensions were already taking a toll on the export-reliant economy and complicating the BOJ's next move.

The Australian dollar rose 0.1% to 0.6253 after the central bank left rates unchanged as expected. It hit 0.6217 on Monday, its lowest since March 4.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered its first rate cut in over four years in February but has since adopted a cautious tone on further easing.

"The RBA's statement suggests they're inching towards their next cut, but in no rush to signal one ahead of the election or the quarterly inflation figures," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. Australia will hold a general election on May 3.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Pound jumps, UK bond prices fall after 'razor-edge' BoE vote on rates
Pound jumps, UK bond prices fall after 'razor-edge' BoE vote on rates
Aug 7, 2025
(Adds quotes, more details of BoE decision) By Alun John Aug 7 (Reuters) - The pound rallied and UK stocks and bond prices tumbled on Thursday after the Bank of England cut interest rates as expected, although concern over inflation among its policymakers stirred up unprecedented division. Four of the BoE's nine policymakers voted to keep rates on hold, after...
Prospect of Trump-Putin meeting lifts Russia stocks, rouble, Ukraine bonds
Prospect of Trump-Putin meeting lifts Russia stocks, rouble, Ukraine bonds
Aug 7, 2025
LONDON, Aug 7 (Reuters) - Russia's rouble strengthened, Moscow stocks jumped and Ukrainian bonds rallied on Thursday after the prospect of a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump fuelled hopes of easing geopolitical tensions. Russia's main stock market index MOEX gained more than 5% to touch a near three-month peak of 2,915 points, in its...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Global stocks rise on Ukraine ceasefire hopes, Fed cut bets; pound rises after BoE
GLOBAL MARKETS-Global stocks rise on Ukraine ceasefire hopes, Fed cut bets; pound rises after BoE
Aug 7, 2025
* Global shares rise on earnings, Fed rate cut hopes * European shares supported by Ukraine ceasefire expectations * Sterling rises after hawkish BoE rate cut By Samuel Indyk and Kevin Buckland LONDON, Aug 7 (Reuters) - Global equities rose on Thursday, with Japanese shares hitting a record high, as upbeat earnings, growing hopes for a ceasefire in Ukraine and...
UK stocks, bond prices fall after narrow BoE vote on rates
UK stocks, bond prices fall after narrow BoE vote on rates
Aug 7, 2025
(Updates after Bank of England meeting) By Stefano Rebaudo Aug 7 (Reuters) - British government bond yields rose and stocks fell on Thursday after the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but inflation fears meant four of its nine policy makers voted to keep rates on hold. Britain's blue chip FTSE 100 index extended...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved