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Thai baht worst performer in 1H
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All Asian currencies set to end 1H in red
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Equities mixed over 1H; Taiwan set for around 29% gain
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Traders await US PCE data due out later in day
By Roshan Thomas
June 28 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies and stocks
held their ground on Friday ahead of key U.S. inflation data,
but were on track to end the first half of the year deep in the
red, pressured by the Federal Reserve's frustratingly slow shift
to lower rates.
The Thai baht, South Korean won,
Indonesian rupiah and the Philippine peso were
among the worst performing currencies among emerging Asian
markets, weakening between 5% and 7% in the first half.
"While a firm U.S. dollar and domestic (Thai) politics serve
as near-term headwinds for the currency, we retain our sanguine
outlook for the Thai baht in the later part of this year,"
analysts at MUFG said in a client note.
A slew of court cases against Thai politicians, including
incumbent prime minister Srettha Thavisin, has put domestic
politics and financial markets on edge, creating uncertainty in
the Southeast Asia's second-largest economy.
Other currencies such as the Singapore dollar and the
Malaysian ringgit also declined by 2.9% and 2.7%,
respectively, in the first half of 2024.
In contrast, the Indian rupee was the top performer
in the region, receding only marginally so far this year, helped
by improving economic fundamentals and foreign inflows.
"Growth has been healthy in India, is likely to continue to
flourish and inflation is also within target, so the RBI
(Reserve Bank of India) is in no hurry to slash rates to be more
growth supportive," analysts at Maybank wrote.
"This view is supported by India's bond inclusion into JP
Morgan EM Index starting today, which will attract billions of
dollars in foreign inflows," they said, adding that they expect
a tight range of 83.00 to 84.00 rupee per dollar to hold.
On Friday, the Taiwan dollar, Malaysian ringgit, and
Singapore dollar were largely unchanged. The South Korean won
gained 0.3%, while the Thai baht slipped marginally.
Traders are closely eyeing the upcoming U.S. personal
consumption expenditures (PCE) reading later today as they seek
clues on the direction of Fed policy.
In Asia, traders are bracing for a deluge of inflation data
next week from Indonesia, South Korea, the Philippines and
Thailand to get read of the likely direction of regional
monetary policy.
Among equities, shares in Jakarta rose 1.2%, while
those in Manila, Seoul, and Taipei were
up between 0.3% and 0.8%.
Equities were mixed over the first-half of 2024. Shares in
South Korea, Malaysia, and India were set to end the half-year
between 5% and 11% in green, while Taiwan shares were poised for
a massive near 29% gain boosted by chip stocks.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields slip to 7.080%
** Indian bond yields seen easing on global index inclusion
** Dollar breaks 161 yen in countdown to U.S. inflation
release
** Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump clash at
their first debate
Asia stock indexes and
currencies at 0337 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX INDE STOCKS STOCK
DAILY YTD % X DAILY S YTD
% % %
Japan -0.14 -12.3 China EC>
India +0.07 -0.23 Indones +0.06 -6.04 Malaysi +0.02 -2.69 Philipp +0.14 -5.54 S.Korea 11>
Singapo +0.03 -2.86 Taiwan +0.15 -5.37 Thailan -0.14 -7.29