*
LatAm FX up 0.8%, stocks rise 1%
*
Brazil's economic activity falls more than expected in
July
*
Ukraine's dollar bonds rise over 1 cent
*
Turkish assets jump after court delays ruling
*
Peru's economy grows 3.4% year-on-year in July
(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Pranav Kashyap and Twesha Dikshit
Sept 15 (Reuters) -
An index tracking Latin American currencies extended its
record-setting run on Monday, led by the Brazilian real, as
traders positioned for the start of the U.S. policy easing cycle
later this week.
A gauge for regional currencies climbed
0.8% to a record high, marking its fourth consecutive
record-high session, buoyed by the dollar, which fell
0.3% on growing confidence that the Federal Reserve will cut
interest rates this week.
Markets are fully pricing in a quarter-point cut, while
also holding limited expectations for a larger 50 basis point
reduction, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Also in focus will be Fed members' "dot plot"
projections for rates and guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell
on the scope and pace of further easing measures.
"The focus in this meeting is going to be less on the
decision and more the path forward. The dot plot will be the
market's anchor," said Daniela Sabin Hathorn, senior market
analyst at capital.com.
"Given how much dovishness is already priced, any median
path that signals fewer cuts or a slower easing cycle in 2026
would read as hawkish."
Brazil's real gained 0.66%, surpassing its
one-year peak and heading for a fourth consecutive advance.
The country's central bank is widely expected to hold
borrowing costs steady on Wednesday, following July's pause
after implementing 450 basis points of hikes since last
September.
With borrowing costs at 15% to tackle persistent
inflation, Brazil's economic growth is showing signs of strain.
July activity fell more than expected, marking the third
consecutive monthly decline.
Stocks in Sao Paulo rose 0.91%, lifted by energy
companies Petrobras and Eletrobras, which
gained 1.4% and 3.2%, respectively, as crude prices advanced.
An index tracking Latin American equities
jumped 1.6% to its highest level in over a year.
The Mexican peso added 0.27%, while the local stock
index climbed 0.51%. This week, Mexican officials were
scheduled to meet with representatives from China to discuss
planned tariffs on goods from the Asian nation.
The country launched a three-tranche bond issuance worth
up to 5 billion euros ($5.88 billion) to partially fund a $9.9
billion bond buyback for state-run oil company Pemex, according
to LSEG's fixed-income news service IFR.
Peruvian equities were 0.76% higher
after data showed the economy expanded 3.41% in July, exceeding
expectations.
Argentine markets failed to recover from last week's selloff
following President Javier Milei's defeat in the Buenos Aires
provincial election. Stocks edged down 0.36%, while the
currency slipped to another record low on Monday.
Fresh GDP data for the second quarter is set to be
released on Wednesday and is expected to show a 6.5%
year-on-year
expansion following a downturn in the third quarter of 2024.
Turkey's markets surged on Monday, with Istanbul stocks
jumping 6%, their biggest one-day gain since May 2023,
and the lira rebounding after a court postponed a ruling
on removing the opposition party leader.
The move eased investor concerns following the earlier
ousting of the party's Istanbul provincial head, which shook
market sentiment.
Elsewhere, Ukraine's international dollar bonds climbed over
1 cent. A Reuters report said that one of Russia's largest oil
refineries had halted a key processing unit after a Ukrainian
drone strike over the weekend, as Kyiv intensified attacks on
Russia's energy infrastructure.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1328.35 0.2
MSCI LatAm 2507.08 1.15
Brazil Bovespa 142878.1 0.43
Mexico IPC 61935.38 0.22
Argentina Merval 1740820.5 -1.083
2
Chile IPSA 9066.33 0.85
Colombia COLCAP 1852.7 0.38
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.3275 0.5
Mexico peso 18.3826 0.13
Chile peso 951 0.26
Colombia peso 3892.3 0.16
Peru sol 3.4858 0.15
Argentina peso (interbank) 1467 -0.78
Argentina peso (parallel) 1425 0.00