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Brazil central bank will raise rates if needed- minutes
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Mexico inflation seen rising to highest in over a year in
July
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Mexico, Peru policy decision due on Thursday
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FX up 1.7%, stocks climb 3%
(Updated at 3:15 p.m. ET/ 1915 GMT)
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Ankika Biswas
Aug 6 (Reuters) - Improved risk appetite helped the
Brazilian real and Chilean peso jump over 1% against the dollar
on Tuesday, with most Latin American assets recouping some lost
ground from the heavy selling in recent sessions.
The MSCI index for Latam currencies was up
1.7% following a two-day selloff, while the stocks gauge
climbed 3% after sliding over the past three
sessions.
Both the indexes touched over one-year lows on Monday, as
heightened fears over a likely U.S. recession strangled risk-on
sentiment and sparked a flight away from risk assets globally to
safe-haven ones such as the Japanese yen.
Disappointing tech earnings and geopolitical worries also
added to the deteriorating sentiment for emerging markets.
However, some calm returned to markets on Tuesday, with most
EM assets, including Latam, gaining as traders continued to
price in a hefty 50 basis-point interest rate cut from the
Federal Reserve by September. Lower U.S. interest rates
typically benefit EM stocks and currencies.
Brazil's real climbed 1.3%, coming off the over
three-year low hit on Monday, with the country's central bank
meeting minutes showing that it won't hesitate to raise interest
rates if needed to bring inflation down to its target.
"It may at some point require an upward recalibration of the
policy rate path if inflation expectations keep on drifting
upwards, the BRL remains under pressure, and the domestic real
business cycle remains resilient," Goldman Sachs analysts noted.
"The recent market gyrations and anticipation of a more
dovish Fed policy rate path may give the Copom a few welcome
extra degrees of freedom to properly evaluate the situation and
calibrate the policy path," they said using the shorthand for
Brazil's monetary policy committee.
Further, Brazil's former finance minister Guido Mantega
praised President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva for moderating his
criticisms of the central bank's policies, while adding he
supports the potential nomination of Gabriel Galipolo to head
the monetary authority.
The Chilean peso also rose over 1%, as the top copper
producer's currency got a boost from a recovery in the red
metal's prices after hitting an over four-month low.
Equities in Chile and Brazil also climbed
in a broad-based rebound for Latam stocks, while Argentina's
benchmark index climbed 3% from Monday's three-month low
levels.
Meanwhile, the Mexican peso remained under pressure,
down 0.4%, after having hit a near two-year low in Monday's
intraday trading.
An interest rate decision out of Mexico is due on Thursday,
with a Reuters poll revealing the country's headline inflation
rate likely accelerated again in July to its highest level in
over a year, while the core index could continue to moderate.
Peru's monetary policy decision is also due on Thursday. The
sol was flat, with the equity market closed on account of
a public holiday.
A rebound in oil prices helped lift Colombia's peso
, up 0.4%.
Elsewhere, Kenya cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points,
saying there was scope to ease policy gradually as inflation had
fallen below the midpoint of its target range.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1030.81 1.41
MSCI LatAm 2141.2 2.99
Brazil Bovespa 126851.49 1.22
Mexico IPC 52343.43 1.09
Chile IPSA 6171.75 1.19
Argentina Merval 1454530.0 2.394
4
Colombia COLCAP 1308.13 1.05
Brazil real 5.6504 1.28
Mexico peso 19.409 -0.4
Chile peso 943.25 1.14
Colombia peso 4138.19 0.35
Peru sol 3.7065 0.01
Argentina peso (interbank) 935 0
Argentina peso (parallel) 1355 2.58302583