*
Latam stocks up 1.8%, FX up 0.7%
*
Mexico July seasonally-adjusted jobless rate at 2.6%
*
Brazil targets billion-dollar organized crime schemes in
fuel
sector
(Updates with afternoon trading levels)
By Pranav Kashyap and Sukriti Gupta
Aug 28 (Reuters) - Brazilian stocks led gains in Latin
America on Thursday, boosting a gauge tracking the region's
equities to an over one-year high, while currencies edged higher
as investors ramped up bets for a Federal Reserve rate cut next
month.
Stocks in Brazil's benchmark Bovespa index hit a
record high, last up 1.6%.
Shares of fuel distributors jumped after Brazilian
authorities targeted billion-dollar organized crime schemes in
the sector.
The real, hit its highest in two weeks and was last
up 0.2%, as investors parsed through data that showed the
General Market Price Index rose 0.36% in August, above
expectations of a 0.21% rise.
Brazil's central government reported a primary budget
deficit of 59.12 billion reais ($10.9 billion) in July, Treasury
data showed, more than six times the deficit from the
year-earlier period but close to analysts' estimates.
Mexican stocks hit an over three-month high, last up
1.1%, while the peso inched 0.1% higher. The country's
seasonally-adjusted jobless rate stood at 2.6% in July, official
data showed.
Bank of America analysts warned of weak growth, remittances
and a deeper-than-expected easing by Banxico potentially
weighing on the peso.
Mexican Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard
said
that his country is not pursuing a free trade agreement
with Brazil but is instead exploring complementary agreements.
On a larger front, the MSCI gauge for Latin American stocks
jumped 1.8%, reaching its highest level since
May 2024, while a similar gauge for currencies
rose 0.7%.
Traders doubled down on Fed rate-cut bets for next month
after New York Fed President John Williams signaled that a cut
was possible. The dollar edged lower, boosting most
emerging market currencies globally.
A potential Fed rate cut in September could revive the
dollar's role as a funding currency for carry trades in
countries with historically high interest rates, such as Brazil.
"Even if the Brazilian central bank starts easing policy
later this year, carry will still remain attractive. Even more
so if the Fed decides to cut in September," analysts at BofA
global research said.
There has been an increase in carry positions in Brazil for
some time now and recent data has shown some signs of moderation
in inflation, Alejandro Cuadrado, global head of FX and Latam
strategy at BBVA, said, adding, this moderation "with such high
nominal rates" provides a very strong nominal and real return.
Argentine stocks attempted to recover this
week's losses, climbing 1.9% and set for their best day in over
three weeks, while the peso advanced 1.3%.
Argentine President Javier Milei was rushed away by security
on Wednesday after protesters hurled rocks and debris at his
convoy during a public appearance in Buenos Aires province,
Reuters witnesses said.
The Chilean peso rose 0.1%, while stocks in Santiago
edged up 0.2%.
Peruvian equities gained 0.7%. The Ministry of
Economy expects that Peru's economy would grow by an average of
3.2% between 2026 and 2029.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1262.74 -0.5
MSCI LatAm 2412.37 1.83
Brazil Bovespa 141375.49 1.56
Mexico IPC 59289.02 1.09
Chile IPSA 8899.11 0.16
Argentina Merval 2017941.1
1.9
Colombia COLCAP 1838.2 -0.31
Brazil real 5.4049 0.23
Mexico peso 18.631 0.14
Chile peso 967.38 0.06
Colombia peso 4019.5 0.27
Peru sol 3.5388 0.29
Argentina peso (interbank) 1332.5 1.3
Argentina peso (parallel) 1330 -2.63