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Brazil's fiscal package to be announced Thursday morning -
Labor
Minister
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Mexican peso pinned at lowest level in more than two years
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Latam FX down 1.1%, stocks off 1.9%
(Updates with mid-session trading)
By Pranav Kashyap and Shashwat Chauhan
Nov 27 (Reuters) -
The Brazilian real dropped to a nearly 4-1/2 year low on
Wednesday on expectations that the government will announce
income tax exemptions that would reduce revenue.
Brazil's real almost hit the May 2020 record low of
5.97 against the greenback, before trading down 1.76% at 5.91
per dollar.
The local benchmark stock index, Bovespa, slid
1.36%.
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is expected to announce
tax cuts in a
televised address
at 8:30 p.m. (2330 GMT) local time on Wednesday.
A source familiar with the matter said on condition of
anonymity that Haddad is
expected to announce
an income tax exemption for individuals earning up to 5,000
reais ($850) per month, up from the current threshold of 2,824
reais.
Labor Minister Luiz Marinho said the full package of
fiscal measures is expected to be unveiled on Thursday morning.
"Some market participants see this as a nonsense
approach. It's going to be extremely challenging to see a better
fiscal picture if that they implement those tax cuts," said
Andres Abadia, chief Latam economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.
Mexico's peso pared earlier losses to trade barely
changed at 20.63 per dollar. The Bank of Mexico slightly raised
its 2024 economic growth forecast while holding its forecast for
2025.
President Claudia Sheinbaum said Mexico would retaliate if
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump followed through with his
proposed 25% across-the-board tariff that her government warned
could kill 400,000 U.S. jobs.
"With the Trump administration pledging to implement
tariffs, the global growth narrative has also been negatively
impacted. Trade wars are now a concern in the minds of
investors," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA.
In Colombia, two government sources said it will cut the
budget for this year by 28.4 trillion pesos ($6.44 billion) due
to lower-than-expected tax revenue.
The peso reversed early losses and was up 0.3% in
light trading.
Latin American assets have run into turbulence in November,
with the currencies of Mexico and Brazil among the worst
performers in emerging markets as investors mull the
implications of Trump's policies on trade, tariffs and
immigration.
Continued repricing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate
path has also helped the dollar globally, weakening EM
currencies.
Meanwhile, U.S. consumer spending increased solidly in
October, suggesting that the economy maintained its strong pace
of growth early in the fourth quarter, but progress lowering
inflation appears to have stalled in the past months.
MSCI's index for Latin American currencies
fell 1.1%, while a gauge for stocks lost 1.9%.
JPMorgan upgraded Mexican equities to "overweight" from
"neutral" on the back of strong U.S. growth but cut Brazilian
equities, citing slower growth in China amid emerging pressures
from Trump's tariff policy.
Credit rating agency Moody's upgraded El Salvador's credit
rating to 'B3', saying the Central American nation's credit
profile benefited from recent a liability management operation.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Equities
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1088.51 0.15
MSCI LatAm 2035.56 -1.9
Brazil Bovespa 128161.7 -1.36
Mexico IPC 49723.09 0
Chile IPSA 6578.85 0.31
Argentina MerVal 2199071.3 -2.36
Colombia COLCAP 1397.61 0.46
Currencies
Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.912 -1.76
Mexico peso 20.6353 -0.05
Chile peso 977.1 -0.04
Colombia peso 4385 0.31
Peru sol 3.7482 0.39
Argentina peso 1,007.5 0.00
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1,105.0 2.64
(parallel)