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EMERGING MARKETS-Chile's peso top Latam FX weekly gainer as copper prices rally
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EMERGING MARKETS-Chile's peso top Latam FX weekly gainer as copper prices rally
Oct 3, 2024 12:02 AM

*

Brazil stresses need for coordination between monetary,

fiscal

policies

*

Brazil's jobless rate drops to 6.6% in quarter through

August

*

Argentina poverty rate soars over 50% as Milei austerity

bites

*

Ghana slashes key rate as inflation outlook improves

*

Latam FX up 0.1%, stocks up 0.4%

By Ankika Biswas

Sept 27 (Reuters) - A key Latin American currencies

index on Friday was on track for its first fourth straight

weekly gain since June 2023, with Chile's peso at the forefront

of investor enthusiasm prompted by a recent rally in metal

prices.

The largest copper producer Chile's peso has

strengthened 4.2% against the dollar this week, also the day's

top Latam FX gainer, as prices of the red metal were set for

their best weekly gain in more than four months.

No. 2 copper producer Peru's sol also rose nearly 1%

for the week.

The MSCI index tracking Latam currencies has

jumped nearly 4% in its four weeks of advance, as economic

stimulus measures in top metals consumer China improved the

demand outlook for metals and sent their prices sharply higher.

Most emerging market stocks and currencies have been riding

on optimism around a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which

was met by a larger-than-usual 50-basis-point reduction last

week that further deepened investors' risk appetite. The MSCI EM

stocks index logged its best weekly performance in

nearly four years.

Among others, Brazil's real also climbed 1.1% against the

dollar on a weekly basis, as iron ore future prices logged an

over 10% weekly gain.

However, the currency was largely flat on the day, with data

showing the country's jobless rate in the three months through

August dropped to at least a 13-year low, reinforcing labor

market strength.

"While the labor market remains resilient, we believe this

trend is unsustainable and expect a gradual deterioration over

the next three to six months," said Andrés Abadía, chief Latam

economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

"Domestic policy uncertainty and challenging external

conditions are adversely affecting key sectors and likely

constraining job-market expansion."

Further, Brazil's central bank chief Roberto Campos Neto

said tighter interest rates alongside looser fiscal policy

create inefficiencies that hinder the transmission of monetary

policy, leading to a prolonged period of higher borrowing costs.

Meanwhile, ratings agency Fitch said Brazil's

better-than-expected economy has not translated into stronger

public finances, forecasting a tougher 2025 and a steeper rise

in the country's public debt.

Colombia's peso edged 0.2% higher, ahead of the

country's monetary policy decision on Monday, with analysts

split on the likelihood of a 50- or 75-bps rate cut.

However, the currency, along with Mexico's peso were

on track for weekly declines as oil prices were set for a weekly

fall.

Among the other key events over the week's course was a

25-bps cut by the Bank of Mexico, its second straight reduction

amid easing inflation.

Elsewhere, Ghana slashed its main interest rate by 200 basis

points to 27%, its first rate cut since January.

HIGHLIGHTS:

** Brazil tops expectations with 232,513 formal jobs created

in August

** Pakistan inflation to slow down in the range of 8%-9% in

near term- government report

** Zambia targets smaller budget deficit in 2025- finance

minister

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1443 GMT:

Equities Latest Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets 1178.09 1.26

MSCI LatAm 2279.27 0.44

Brazil Bovespa 133772.64 0.57

Mexico IPC 53784.99 0.36

Chile IPSA 6555.86 0.4

Argentina Merval 1738980.22 1.359

Colombia COLCAP 1323.2 -0.63

Currencies Latest Daily % change

Brazil real 5.4347 0.05

Mexico peso 19.5844 0.14

Chile peso 893.2 0.85

Colombia peso 4159.77 0.21

Peru sol 3.7191 -0.25

Argentina peso (interbank) 967.5 0

Argentina peso (parallel) 1215 1.234567901

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