*
Colombia c.bank cuts rates by 50 bps
*
Brazil private economists forecast two 50-bps hikes this
year
*
Chile's president proposes 2.7% spending increase in 2025
budget
*
Mexico's president-elect Sheinbaum to take office on
Tuesday
*
Latam FX down 0.3%, stocks down 1%
(Updated at 3:30 p.m. ET/ 1930 GMT)
By Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan
Sept 30 (Reuters) - Colombia's peso slipped on Monday
after the country's central bank opted for a modest interest
rate cut, while an index tracking Latin American currencies was
on course for its biggest monthly advance in 10 months, riding
on a metal prices rally.
The Colombian peso weakened 0.4% against the dollar
after its central bank cut the benchmark interest rate by 50
basis points to 10.25%, a moderate cut as policymakers responded
to local inflationary pressures despite international
relaxations in borrowing costs.
"Risk premiums in LatAm have increased, with Colombia seeing
a notable rise due to falling oil prices and challenging fiscal
conditions, despite the rate cut and further reductions expected
from the US Fed," said Andres Abadia, chief LatAm economist at
Pantheon Macroeconomics.
"Elevated geopolitical risk and increased domestic fiscal
uncertainty have been significant factors preventing a 75bp rate
cut."
The Colombian decision followed a 25-bps rate hike by Brazil
and a 25-bps cut by Mexico this month.
A survey showed Brazil's private sector economists now
project a more restrictive path for interest rates, with two
50-basis-point hikes expected this year and higher borrowing
costs next year.
Brazil's real was down 0.4% on the day, but was the
top Latin American currency performer for the month with a near
3% jump against the greenback.
Data from Brazil showed the country's public sector posted a
larger-than-expected deficit in August, driven by a mismatch
between central government revenues and expenditures.
The MSCI index for Latam currencies was set
for its best month since last November. The stock index
dipped 1% on Monday, though was set for
quarterly gains.
The strength in Latam asset classes has been fueled by
optimism around a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and soaring
metal prices on the back of top consumer China's stimulus
measures that have shored up the metals demand outlook.
Top copper producers Chile's peso and Peru's sol
also enjoyed monthly gains on the back of the recent
rally in the red metal's prices.
Chile's government is proposing a 2.7% annual increase in
its 2025 budget, President Gabriel Boric said, adding plans to
boost pensions, healthcare and focus on increasing national
security.
Mexico's peso was up 0.2% in choppy trading. Incoming
President Claudia Sheinbaum will take office on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, Argentine President Javier Milei intends to shake
up the country's mid-term legislative elections next year, as
the country battles its worst economic crisis in decades.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1168.74 -0.49
MSCI LatAm 2237.57 -0.99
Brazil Bovespa 132124.13 -0.46
Mexico IPC 52567.99 -0.4
Chile IPSA 6490.72 -0.61
Argentina Merval 1694669.2 -1.916
7
Colombia COLCAP 1311.64 -0.69
Brazil real 5.4555 -0.42
Mexico peso 19.6713 0.16
Chile peso 898.5 0.13
Colombia peso 4194.89 -0.41
Peru sol 3.6923 0.14
Argentina peso (interbank) 968.5 -0.154878678
Argentina peso (parallel) 1215 2.469135802