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U.S. and Colombia reach agreement, tariffs, sanctions on
hold
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Moody's raises Argentina's rating for first time in five
years
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MSCI Latam stocks index set to snap six session win streak
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MSCI Latam FX down 0.9%, stocks off 0.2%
(Updates to mid-session trading)
By Purvi Agarwal, Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Johann M
Cherian
Jan 27 (Reuters) - The currencies of Colombia and Mexico
depreciated on Monday, leading declines among Latin American
peers after a trade spat between the U.S. and Colombia
re-ignited fears about the impacts of U.S. President Donald
Trump's proposed tariffs on the region.
The U.S. and Colombia pulled back from the brink of a trade
war on Sunday after the White House said Colombia had agreed to
accept military aircraft carrying deported migrants.
That led to the U.S. holding off on a Trump directive to
impose tariffs and sanctions, which included a 25% tariff on
imports that could go up to 50% in a week, among others, on the
third-largest U.S. trading partner in Latin America.
Colombia's peso trimmed early declines and was last
down 0.7%, on track for its biggest daily drop in over a week.
The currency had declined nearly 2% earlier in the session.
The Mexican peso weakened 2.3% after logging its
biggest weekly rise in 2025 on Friday. The currency is among the
most sensitive to tariff headlines as 80% of the country's
exports go to its northern neighbor.
Investors also sold Colombian and Mexican
10-year bonds.
The spat highlights how uncertainty over tariffs has clouded
the outlook for EMs, compounding pressures from economic
uncertainty and the prospect of higher-for-longer U.S. interest
rates.
"The episode highlights how the Trump administration will
intertwine trade policy with national security policy and so
markets will face greater volatility and surprises... the
biggest test of this strategy will be with China," said Win
Thin, Brown Brothers Harriman's global head of market strategy.
Economies, including China and Mexico's, are on edge after
Trump last week earmarked Feb. 1 for additional tariffs on the
country's top trading partners.
BofA Global Research analysts said U.S. tariffs could force
Mexico's central bank to keep rates on hold, "as the peso is
likely to weaken significantly in that scenario."
MSCI's index tracking regional currencies
was down 0.9%, while the stocks' measure
was off 0.2%, set to snap a six-session winning
streak.
This week, investors will also closely watch a rate decision
from the Fed, which is expected to keep rates on hold.
Rate decisions are also due from Brazil, Colombia and Chile
through the week.
Inflation expectations in Brazil for this year rose for the
15th straight week, a survey of private economists showed, a
trend closely watched by the central bank ahead of an expected
rate hike.
The Argentine peso dipped 0.3% and the Merval stock
index lost 5%.
Ratings agency Moody's on Friday raised Argentina's
long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating, citing
policy changes that have helped address economic and fiscal
challenges.
Colombia's main index gained 1.27% and U.S.-listed
Colombia ETF gave up early declines and was last up
0.8%.
Mexican stocks added 0.9%, while Brazil's Bovespa
gained 1.6%.
Key Latin American stock
indexes and currencies
Stock indexes
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1085.94 -0.37
MSCI LatAm 1984.31 -0.23
Brazil Bovespa 124410.53 1.6
Mexico IPC 51824.98 0.91
Chile IPSA 7028.57 -0.56
Argentina MerVal 2435431.66 -5.09
Colombia COLCAP 1433.49 1.27
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.9093 0.03
Mexico peso 20.7375 -2.35
Chile peso 986.1 -0.59
Colombia peso 4199.5 -0.68
Peru sol 3.743 -0.67
Argentina peso (interbank) 1,049.0 -0.24
Argentina peso (parallel) 1,210.0 1.22