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EM stocks up 0.3%, FX flat; set for weekly advance
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Czech Republic elections on Friday and Saturday
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Turkey's annual inflation jumps, exceeding expectations
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Senegal international bonds rally ahead of IMF board
meeting
By Nikhil Sharma
Oct 3 (Reuters) - Emerging Markets stocks and currencies
inched closer to weekly gains on Friday, but nerves grew as the
Czech Republic election took center stage amid higher odds for a
nationalist-led government.
Opinion polls suggest a comeback for populist billionaire
Andrej Babis, who has pledged to raise wages and lift growth
while reducing aid for Ukraine and shielding voters from dangers
outside borders such as costly climate policies or immigration.
The Czech crown slipped 0.1% on Friday and is set
to end the week on a quiet note. Year-to-date, it has jumped
3.7%.
"We have seen solid performance of the Czech koruna, partly
due to the policy of the National Bank. But things are likely to
change after the elections," said Barry van der Laan,
Senior FX Market Strategist at Monex, pointing out that the
cause for concern would be "the way the government is going to
be formed and which parties are going to be involved in the
majority".
The Czech central bank last month extended its rate pause
and signaled the need for tight policy, citing upside risks to
inflation, and said it was too early to think about raising
rates, according to minutes from the last policy meeting.
Equities in Prague edged up 0.17% to trade at a record
high and have risen 1.4% this week so far.
Meanwhile, the MSCI index of emerging market equities
rose 0.3% on Friday, marking its fifth straight daily
win. It was up 3.4% for the week so far.
Firming expectations for further policy easing by the U.S.
Federal Reserve later this year have supported global equities
throughout the week, offsetting worries about a partial U.S.
government shutdown.
Yet, uncertainty lingered as investors evaluated the
duration of the government closure that delayed a comprehensive
September jobs report, forcing market participants to rely on
Wednesday's private payrolls data to gauge the Fed's future
actions.
The concerns weighed on the U.S. dollar, which was down 0.4%
for the week, allowing currencies elsewhere to shine. A broader
gauge for EM currencies rose 0.3% week-to-date
and remained steady for the day.
The Hungarian forint outperformed its peers, up
5.5% so far this week as its relatively high 6.5% benchmark rate
continued to attract inflows.
Stocks in Budapest jumped 0.5%, set for modest weekly
gains. Polish stocks were among the top performers, up
1.9% , as a benign inflation reading this week opened doors for
Poland's central bank to consider its next rate cut.
The currency zloty remained subdued throughout the
week.
In Turkey, the main BIST 100 share index dropped
0.7% on Friday, while the lira edged 0.1% higher after
the annual inflation rate jumped to 33.29% in September, well
above expectations, reinforcing concerns that the central bank
may need to slow its easing cycle to address stubborn price
pressures.
Elsewhere, Senegal's international bonds extended their
rally as the International Monetary Fund's staff will discuss a
new fund-supported program with the West African country to
begin this month.
The note with 2031 maturity jumped 2.2
cents to the dollar. The IMF board will meet later in the day to
discuss the situation, including a debt misreporting issue.
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