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Sheinbaum wins landslide to become first woman Mexican
president
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India shares at record high, exit polls predict Modi
landslide
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Moody's: SA coalition govt could complicate policy
execution
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MSCIEF set for best day since mid Nov
By Ankika Biswas
June 3 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks and currencies
bounced back on Monday, with local elections in Mexico, India
and South Africa and expected monetary policy easing from major
central banks at the top of investors' radar.
The MSCI index for EM stocks climbed 2.1%, set for
its biggest one-day jump since mid November, after having lost
nearly 4% in four straight sessions. The currencies gauge
edged 0.1% higher after three days of losses.
Traders largely expect interest rate cuts from the European
Central Bank and the Bank of Canada this week, while U.S. rate
reductions are expected later this year.
On the election front, Claudia Sheinbaum won a landslide
victory to become Mexico's first female president. The Mexican
peso weakened over 1% against the dollar as the ruling
coalition looked poised for a super-majority that markets fear
could bring constitutional reforms.
"(A super majority) would enable Sheinbaum and Morena
(party) to push through constitutional amendments. Policy
continuity will largely prevail under a Sheinbaum government,
particularly when it comes welfare policy," Jason Tuvey, deputy
chief EM economist at Capital Economics wrote.
"The next key thing to watch will be whether Sheinbaum
offers any hints of cabinet appointments."
In India, exit polls pointed to a third term and sizable
mandate for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, with investors eying
public spending to maintain economic momentum, sending the
country's stocks to record highs, the rupee up and bond
yields lower.
Final results from South Africa's National Assembly
elections confirmed that the ANC suffered its worst election
showing since it came to power 30 years ago.
The South African rand strengthened 0.7% against the
dollar, after slipping on Friday on fears the ANC could form a
coalition with radical parties. The wider equity index
jumped 1.3% after recent declines.
Moody's ratings agency said a coalition government could
complicate the execution of fiscal, economic and social policies
that would help address the South Africa's structural credit
weaknesses.
On the data front, Central European manufacturing mostly
contracted in May as Polish and Czech producers faced declining
output and orders, while Hungarian factory activity stayed
muted. S&P Global's Polish PMI fell to 45.0 in May from 45.9 in
April, staying below the 50 mark for the 25th month in a row.
The Hungarian forint fell to a one-month low
against the euro, as central Europe's markets awaited fresh data
to gauge prospects of interest rate cuts ahead.
However, Budapest's blue-chip stocks index and Warsaw
were up 2.2% and 1%, respectively.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** China factory activity growth hits 2-year high- Caixin
PMI; Moody's raises China's growth forecast
** Turkey inflation hits 75% in expected peak before relief
** Iran's ex-President Ahmadinejad to run in presidential
election- state TV
** Pakistan inflation slows to 11.8% in May, lowest in 30
months