* South Africa assets steady before anti-migrant protests
* Polish inflation slows to 2.5% y/y in June, below 2.7%
forecast
By Ragini Mathur and Utkarsh Hathi
June 30 (Reuters) - Emerging-market stocks rose on Tuesday,
heading for their strongest quarter since after the global
financial crisis, as investors piled into Asian tech shares on
hopes for the AI boom to fuel demand for chips and hardware.
The MSCI emerging-market equities index rose 0.9%
on the day, on track for its best quarter since April 2009, when
unprecedented central bank stimulus helped markets recover from
the 2008 financial crisis.
Still, the index was set for a slight monthly loss.
The rally has been led by technology-heavy Asian markets,
where chipmakers and hardware firms have surged on demand driven
by artificial intelligence.
Taiwan's benchmark advanced 2.5%, helped by a gain
of 1.7% in TSMC, and is up nearly 60% this year. South
Korea's KOSPI rose 1%, extending its year-to-date gain
to a record 101%.
In South Africa, the rand and the benchmark stock
index were little changed as investors braced for
planned anti-immigration demonstrations.
"Political stability is at risk, which is an unsupportive
backdrop for South African FX and bonds in the medium to long
term," said Marek Drimal, lead CEEMEA strategist at Societe
Generale.
"In the near term, the prudent policy of the central bank
remains the overarching domestic factor in South Africa, and
should still protect - and even strengthen - the rand."
The South African protests come amid wider social tension
across emerging markets, with Kenya and Bolivia also seeing
protests in recent weeks over cost-of-living pressures, fiscal
strains and frustration with government policy.
Geopolitical risk also stayed in focus.
Investors monitored prospects for Iran-U.S. talks in Doha
this week, though Iran said on Monday no meeting had been
scheduled after weekend missile fire from both sides tested an
interim ceasefire aimed at ending the four-month-old war.
The dollar index edged higher and was set for its
best monthly performance since July 2025, pressuring
risk-sensitive currencies.
Investors have added bets on continued dollar strength at
the fastest pace on record for the first half of a year, data
showed.
The EM currency gauge was flat on the day
and headed for a monthly loss, though it kept on track for a
third straight quarterly gain.
In central Europe, currencies weakened against the euro,
with the Hungarian forint down 0.8%.
Poland's June inflation accelerated to 2.5% year-on-year,
below the 2.7% forecast in a Reuters poll, reinforcing
expectations that regional price pressures remain contained.
"Polish CPI is typically the first monthly print to come out
in the region, and decisive trends there often drive
expectations for CPI releases elsewhere in Central and Eastern
Europe," Drimal said.
"I would expect the market to push rates lower across the
region - in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, possibly
Romania as well - on expectations of lower CPI."
The Polish zloty weakened 0.3% against the euro,
while Warsaw's fell 0.5%. The Czech crown and
Prague's were little changed after data showed the Czech
economy grew a quarterly 0.2% in the first quarter.
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