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Asian stocks support EM equities
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KOSPI crosses 3,000 mark on post-election rally
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Lira weakens further, analysts see rate cuts coming
By Sruthi Shankar
June 20 (Reuters) - A semblance of calm returned to most
emerging markets on Friday, as worries about an immediate U.S.
involvement in the Iran-Israel conflict eased, in turn putting
pressure on the dollar and oil.
The MSCI index of EM equities climbed 1.1%, supported
by heavyweight Asian bourses including South Korea's Kospi
that rose above 3,000 points for the first time in 3-1/2
years.
Stock markets in Hungary Turkey, Hong Kong
, India rose in the range of 0.8% and 1.3% after
the White House said that President Donald Trump would make a
decision on whether the U.S. would get involved in the Middle
East conflict in the next two weeks, raising pressure on Tehran
to come to the negotiating table.
The Israel-Iran attacks, which entered a second week, have
supported the dollar's safe-haven appeal and lifted crude prices
in recent days, weighing on EM currencies, particularly those of
crude importers such as India and Turkey.
As crude prices eased 2.2% on Friday, the rupee
firmed after hitting a three-month low against the dollar
on Thursday.
The Turkish lira, however, eased to 39.7 per dollar,
also a three-month low, after the central bank held its key
interest rate steady at 46% on Thursday but said inflation
should continue to decline and growth should slow.
"Turkey's central bank kept rates unchanged, but made subtle
changes to its language and communication, which suggest that
the central bank will resume cutting interest rates sooner
rather than later," Commerzbank strategist Tatha Ghose said.
The Thai baht was hit by a political storm after Prime
Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra faced the prospect of losing her
government's majority as a vital coalition partner looked set to
demand her resignation after just 10 months in power.
The baht weakened for a fifth consecutive session, trading
at 32.78 per dollar.
A gauge of EM currencies hit a record high
earlier this month and its stocks counterpart touched
over three-year highs as broad dollar weakness and optimism
about U.S. trade deals helped sentiment.
EM local currency bond funds enjoyed record inflows in the
past week as Chinese local funds pulled in more money, Barclays
said in a report, citing EPFR data. EM equities fund inflows
were at a three-month high, it said.
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