(Updated at 9:11 a.m. GMT)
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U.S. Fed expected to hold rates, signal rate cuts close
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Lira touches record low to the dollar
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MSCI EM on course for first monthly loss since January
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Poland CPI below expectations
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Ethiopia's birr slips after World Bank deal
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Central bank decisions from Chile, Colombia and Brazil on
deck
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal
July 31 (Reuters) - Currencies of most emerging European
countries slipped against the dollar on Wednesday, with the
Turkish lira touching a record low, while a gauge of EM stocks
rose as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's interest rate
decision later in the day.
MSCI's indexes tracking emerging market stocks
jumped 1.1%, lifted by gains on Asian bourses on hopes for
economic stimulus in China after data showed the country's
manufacturing activity slipped to a five-month nadir in July.
Additionally, geopolitical risks remained on the radar after
Hamas said its leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Iran,
drawing worries about further escalation in the region.
Turkey's lira dipped 0.2% versus the dollar,
touching a fresh all-time low of 33.1075 against the greenback,
while stocks in Turkey dipped 0.5%.
Currencies in emerging European economies edged lower, with
the Hungarian forint and Czech crown losing
about 0.1% against both the euro and the greenback.
Meanwhile, the Polish zloty slipped 0.2% against
the euro after data showed inflation jumped significantly in
July, from 2.6% to 4.2% year-on-year, primarily due to the
government's partial withdrawal of measures aimed at keeping
down energy prices.
Investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision
later on Wednesday, where the central bank is expected to hold
rates but could potentially signal rate cuts are imminent.
The Fed is a key event on a central bank-packed week. The
Bank of Japan hiked interest rates earlier in the day. Decisions
are on deck from the central banks of Colombia, Brazil, Chile on
Wednesday, and the Czech Republic on Thursday.
"The BoJ and FOMC meetings bookend and are the focal points
for a very busy day," said Marc Ostwald, global strategist at
ADM Investor Services International.
"It is also month end, and price action thus far this week
suggests this has been a constraint, above all given all of the
event risk this week, not to mention long-standing national and
geopolitical issues," Ostwald said, adding plenty of trading
activity was likely post the Fed meeting as investors rebalance
portfolios.
The emerging markets stock index is on pace for its first
monthly decline since January, while an index tracking EM
currencies is on track to rise about 0.3%, as
markets have grappled with a U.S. tech-led equity selloff, while
gauging the likelihood of lower interest rates in the U.S.
Emerging market bonds have fared better, with J.P. Morgan's
index of dollar-denominated EM bonds returning 1.6% in July,
putting its year-to-date gains at nearly 4%.
Elsewhere, the World Bank's board approved $1.5 billion in
financing for its first ever budget support lending to Ethiopia,
it announced on Tuesday.
Ethiopia's birr was trading around 74.738 against the
dollar.
Nigeria's naira was also under pressure, quoted at
1610 to the dollar and on course to fall nearly 7% in July.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Hong Kong Q2 GDP expands 3.3% on year, Taiwan GDP tops
forecasts
** Venezuelans protest as observers say presidential vote
undemocratic
** Foreign banks' purchases of Indian bonds hit record high
in 2024
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For RUSSIAN market report, see