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EM stocks tank 1.7%, FX flat
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Polish inflation at 2.8% y/y in October
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Romanian quarterly growth contracts in Q3
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Senegal bonds eye worst week on record
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South Korea vows to stabilise won; intervention suspected
after
slide
By Nikhil Sharma
Nov 14 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks joined a
global selloff on Friday after hawkish Federal Reserve comments
dimmed expectations for a U.S. rate cut next month, triggering
risk aversion that has trimmed gains from earlier in the week.
MSCI's index of emerging market stocks sank 1.7% -
on track for its worst single-day fall since April 7, when U.S.
President Donald Trump's tariff announcements sparked fears of a
global downturn, forcing investors to dump equities.
The day's selloff erased most of the gains accumulated
earlier this week in the run-up to the end of the longest U.S.
government shutdown in history, reducing equity gains to just
0.3% week-to-date.
For the month, the region-wide equity index was down 1.1%
and could end November in the red if losses hold, marking its
first monthly decline of 2025. However, it is still up about 29%
this year, on track for its best performance since 2017.
A broader gauge for EM currencies was
largely stable and remained on track for a weekly advance, up
0.2% week-to-date, supported by a weaker dollar.
An increasing number of Fed policymakers have expressed
reluctance to ease rates further, citing persistent price
pressures and a firm labor market despite two U.S. rate cuts
earlier this year.
Market participants are pricing in a 50.5% chance of a hold
verdict at the Fed's December meeting.
"Expectations of a Fed interest rate cut next month have
slumped to 50%; a month ago, a rate cut was a near certainty.
This could limit any chance of a stock market recovery until we
see the latest U.S. economic data now that the government
shutdown has ended," Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB,
said in a note.
Wall Street futures pointed to a lower open, while Asian
emerging markets were also severely bruised,
down nearly 2%.
In Central-Eastern Europe, Poland's main stock index
was down 1.25% on the day, dragged by a 3.2% fall in
state-run copper producer KGHM after it reported
third-quarter results.
The zloty currency was largely steady as consumer
prices remained stable in October. The zloty was up 0.2%
week-to-date.
The Hungarian forint was set for its worst week in
a month, weighed down by a government announcement this week it
would raise deficit targets for 2025 and 2026. Budapest stocks
fell 0.26%, but were up 0.6% for the week.
The Czech koruna and Prague's main stock index
remained on track for their best week since early August,
even as the assets were down on the day.
In Romania, Bucharest stocks fell 0.2% and the leu
currency was flat on Friday. Data showed the economy
contracted quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter as higher
electricity prices and tax hikes depressed domestic demand, but
still beat annual growth expectations.
Rising electricity prices and tax hikes prompted Romania's
central bank to keep rates at 6.5% this week and raise its
annual inflation forecast for this year and next.
Elsewhere, Senegal's international bonds suffered a record
selloff this week, dragged down by a lack of progress on a new
loan program with the International Monetary Fund and by ongoing
political infighting.
On Thursday, the IMF revealed it was working with the
country to finalize an agreement on reforms to underpin a new
program.
The 2031 maturity was trading at 68.047
cents on the dollar - a level considered to be entering
"distressed" territory - and has fallen about 10 cents this week
in its worst weekly slump on record.
The South Korean won currency reversed early losses
to jump 0.9% on suspected government intervention. Authorities
vowed to take measures to stabilise a wobbly currency, including
enlisting support from the national pension fund.
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