* EM stocks down 1.1%, FX down 0.33%
* Energy price surge a risk to Hungary's rating - S&P
* Turkey's c.bank to pause rate cuts as U.S.-Iran war
weighs
By Pranav Kashyap
March 12 (Reuters) - Emerging market assets slid broadly
on Thursday as the Iran war entered its 13th day with no sign of
easing, while neighbouring Turkey braced for an interest rate
decision.
Stocks in Istanbul rose 0.1% on the day. The
benchmark index, which got off to a strong start in January, has
since slipped into marginal declines. The change in momentum
comes as recent inflation data suggests the disinflation trend
is losing steam, prompting the central bank to revise its
year-end forecasts higher.
Later in the day, Turkey's central bank is expected to pause its
easing cycle once again and keep rates steady at 37%, as
policymakers weigh the market fallout from the U.S.-Iran war.
U.S. President Donald Trump said it was necessary to "finish
the job", while Iran told the world to brace for oil at $200 a
barrel after striking tankers in Iraqi waters and other ships
near the strategically crucial Strait of Hormuz.
Israeli stocks fell 1%, on course for their worst
week since October 2023, while the shekel weakened to a
nearly two-week low.
Stocks in Dubai fell 3.3%, dropping to their lowest
level since June after having lost nearly 20% over the past
eight sessions.
OIL SHOCK FEARS RESURFACE
Meanwhile, oil's surge past the $100-a-barrel mark reignited
a familiar fear that has haunted markets since the Middle East
conflict began: a fresh energy shock.
For economies that rely heavily on imported energy - much of
Europe among them - rising oil prices could quickly spill over
into broader inflation pressures.
Shaken investors sought refuge in the liquidity of the U.S.
dollar, steering clear of currencies from countries seen as
particularly vulnerable to oil shocks.
"The recent escalation around Iran has evolved from a
geopolitical risk into a potential macroeconomic shock," said
Michael Lok, Group CIO and co-CEO of asset management at UBP.
"If sustained, this will start testing the world economy's
resilience, as the main risk is slower growth alongside higher
inflation. Europe and much of Asia have demonstrated stronger
sensitivity."
A gauge tracking Central and Eastern European equities
fell 0.6%, while Hungary's forint and
benchmark stock index were little changed.
A senior analyst at S&P told Reuters on Wednesday that
Hungary's investment-grade credit ratings could come under
pressure if the surge in energy prices deepens and proves
prolonged.
In Johannesburg, stocks have already fallen 10%
since the start of March, putting the market on track for what
could be its first monthly decline after 14 straight months of
gains - a record winning streak.
Meanwhile, Pakistan's international dollar bonds were mixed
after the International Monetary Fund said it had made
"considerable progress" in talks on the latest reviews of the
country's bailout programme, though a staff-level agreement has
yet to be reached. Discussions are continuing as officials
assess the economic fallout from the Middle East conflict.