*
Mexican peso weakens past 17 per dollar
*
Brazil's real at lowest since March 2023
*
IMF sees smaller economic slowdown in Latam, Caribbean
region
this year
*
Latam FX down 1.6%, stocks fall 2.1%
(Updated at 3:30pm ET/1930 GMT)
By Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Lisa Pauline Mattackal
April 16 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies and
stocks slumped on Tuesday as the dollar soared on rising
geopolitical tensions and fading hopes of a rate cut by the U.S.
Federal Reserve.
Mexico's peso led Latin American currencies lower
with a fall of 2.0%, briefly crossing the 17 to the dollar mark
and trading at a nearly two-month low.
Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex, said the peso's
fall was partly the result of the dollar's jump to ultimate
safe-haven asset with the conflict in the Middle East reaching
an "uncomfortable point of escalation for all global markets".
"A world mostly blurred in its long-term outlooks is now
being overwhelmed with negativity and pessimism as tensions in
Russia, Ukraine, and now the Middle East seem to indicate they
are long-term headwinds to cope with," Perez said.
Traders also continued to trim expectations for more than
one Federal Reserve interest rate cut this year after comments
from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Emerging markets have been pressured since the start of the
year as strong U.S. economic data prompted investors to reprice
expectations that borrowing costs in the world's biggest economy
would fall significantly in 2024.
"I think Powell has changed his tune a little bit today ...
the Fed (cutting rates) narrative is still intact, but it
doesn't look as compelling as it did at the beginning of the
year," said Geoffrey Dennis, independent emerging markets
analyst.
However, Dennis said there is scope for emerging markets to
regain ground as the Fed's policy path becomes more clear.
The strength of the greenback pushed the MSCI index for
Latin American currencies down 1.6%, heading for
its biggest daily fall since February 2023. The broader emerging
market currencies index dipped 0.4% to its
lowest level since December.
Latin American stocks were 2.1% lower,
trading at the lowest level since November.
The Brazilian real fell 1.5% to 5.2648, its lowest in
over one year.
The Bovespa index fell 0.5%, with Vale
down 1.2% after a local court again suspended the operating
license for the miner's Brazilian Sossego copper mine.
The International Monetary Fund in its latest World Economic
Outlook upgraded its 2024 view for economic output growth in
Latin America and the Caribbean to 2% from January's estimate of
1.9%, though it still expects a slowdown.
Meanwhile, Sri Lanka rejected international bondholders'
proposal to restructure more than $12 billion in debt, putting
at risk critical IMF support and delaying efforts to resolve a
two-year-long debt crisis.
HIGHLIGHTS
** Ukraine bondholders form ad hoc committee for $20
bln talks
** Brazil framework is much bigger than changes in fiscal
target, says ministry
** ANALYSIS-China's cycle of dollar hoarding and weakening
yuan gets vicious
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1930 GMT:
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1010.06 -2.01
MSCI LatAm 2383.60 -2.07
Brazil Bovespa 124762.38 -0.46
Mexico IPC 55897.79 -0.15
Chile IPSA 6422.73 -0.88
Argentina MerVal 1219841.07 1.863
Colombia COLCAP 1374.14 -0.44
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.2648 -1.56
Mexico peso 17.0382 -1.85
Chile peso 980 -0.18
Colombia peso 3915.63 -0.21
Peru sol 3.7427 -0.50
Argentina peso 868.5000 0.00
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1015 0.00
(parallel)