* Polish cenbank expected to hold rates in the face of
inflation worries
* Turkey's finance minister expects economic impact of
conflict to be temporary if ceasefire holds
* Hungarian forint, stocks slip ahead of election; EU
funds release seen as potential boost
* IMF-Sri Lanka deal to unlock $700 mln; Indian elections
in focus
By Johann M Cherian
April 9 (Reuters) - Assets in major emerging markets
slipped on Thursday as investors took a breather from strong
gains in the previous session and mulled the outlook of a
fragile truce between the U.S. and Iran.
MSCI's index for emerging markets stocks slipped
0.9%, after having logged its strongest daily gain in over six
years on Wednesday as investors welcomed a two-week pause in
hostilities between the U.S. and Iran and news that energy
shipments through the Strait of Hormuz would resume.
However, fresh threats by U.S. President Donald Trump, Israel's
bombardment of Lebanon and shipments through the strategic
waterway remaining constrained suggested tensions were high
ahead of the anticipated talks between the U.S. and Iran in
Pakistan on Saturday.
Prices of crude oil, a major resource for emerging
economies, jumped over 3% and neared $100 a barrel.
Worries that elevated energy costs could stall governments'
fiscal plans sent investors back to the safe-haven dollar.
Consequently, an index tracking emerging market currencies
slipped 0.3%, with the Philippine peso
and Indonesia's rupiah down 0.5% each, while South
Africa's rand slipped 0.4% and Turkey's lira
weakened 0.2%.
A stronger dollar also would push up debt servicing costs for
governments. Hard currency bonds of Romania,
Hungary, Egypt and Kenya
dipped over 0.3 cents on the dollar.
INTEREST RATE DECISIONS
Thursday is a packed day with central bank decisions and
monetary policy commentary across developing markets as
policymakers weigh the repercussions of the conflict.
In Europe, Poland's zloty was steady against the euro
ahead of the local central bank's verdict, with economists
anticipating no change to borrowing costs.
Elsewhere in the region, investors are bracing for elections in
Hungary on Sunday that polls show could see Prime Minister
Viktor Orban's government voted out after 16 years in power.
Investors bet that funds from the European Union that were
frozen over democratic standards could be unlocked and boost the
economy if Orban loses. The forint led declines among peers
, slipping 0.4% on Thursday, while stocks lost
1.6%.
"Given that some investors do not seem to be fully convinced
that PM Orban and his Fidesz party may lose power, the forint
and Hungarian assets should respond positively if the opposition
Tisza party wins general elections," said Piotr Matys, senior FX
analyst at In Touch Capital Markets.
"That said, scope for potential gains could be constrained
if peace talks between the U.S. and Iran do not go well."
A rate decision is also expected out of Serbia later in the
day along with commentary anticipated by policymakers in Kenya,
Russia, and Argentina.
Turkey's Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek said that if a U.S.-Iran
ceasefire holds the war fallout on the economy would be
temporary and reversible, although it might take months for the
disrupted global supply chains to return to pre-war levels.
Banks in the country were down 1.1%.
Most major central banks of emerging economies have left
interest rates unchanged and have flagged the risk of inflation
pressures shooting up in the months ahead.
In some positive news, the International Monetary Fund reached a
staff-level pact with Sri Lanka, which is set to unlock
financing of about $700 million once approved, reflecting a
steady recovery of the island nation from its worst economic
crisis in decades.
However, local assets were subdued tracking global
sentiment. International bonds
were mixed, while the rupee was steady.
Elsewhere in South Asia, elections were underway in several
Indian states and could be a test for Prime Minister Narendra
Modi's government. The rupee slipped 0.6%.
Separately, brokerage BofA said there is opportunity in the
country's battered bank stocks, but the tech sector is likely to
grapple with stiff competition from newer artificial
intelligence models. Local equities benchmarks
dropped 1% each.