*
Trump puts 35% tariff on Canada, EU tariff rate awaited
*
Romanian inflation rises above expectations in June
*
South Africa's rand set for biggest weekly loss since
March
*
MSCI EM FX flat, stocks off 0.1%
By Ragini Mathur and Purvi Agarwal
July 11 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies
inched lower, set for weekly declines, while stocks were mixed
on Friday as investors assessed U.S. President Donald Trump's
latest tariff plans and ongoing trade talks before an August 1
deadline.
On Thursday, Trump escalated his trade war with Canada,
announcing a 35% tariff on Canadian imports to take effect from
August 1.
Investors are also awaiting an expected European Union
tariff announcement.
So far markets have avoided major reactions as investors
anticipate deals are likely ahead of the revised August 1
deadline and that some of the proposed tariffs could face legal
hurdles.
The South African rand fell 0.7%, putting it on
course for its steepest weekly loss since late March, while its
stocks were down 0.5% after Trump threatened an
additional 10% on BRICS nations, of which South Africa is a
member.
Tariffs on many Asian emerging markets have forced them to
step up their trade talks with the United States. Brazil,
threatened with 50% tariffs, said it would retaliate.
Regarding Brazil, UBS said that the U.S. administration
could run into legal hurdles to justify its threatened tariffs
as it had a trade surplus with the country.
Analysts also took the view pragmatism would prevail.
"Emerging markets offer access to unique macro and policy
cycles, structural growth opportunities, and diversification
benefits - especially amid rising geopolitical fragmentation and
shifting supply chains," analysts at UBS' chief investment
office, led by Mark Haefele, wrote in a note.
Trade war jitters have driven investors into emerging
markets to try to diversify their holdings. The MSCI index
tracking global emerging market currencies has
gained about 7% this year.
The index was little changed on the day, but was set to snap
its five-week winning streak with marginal declines, as the
dollar edged higher, pressuring peers.
Most currencies in emerging Europe weakened against euro.
Romania's leu was 0.2% lower after data showed
consumer price inflation in the country rose 5.66% on the year
in June, exceeding expectations.
The Polish zloty and the Hungarian Forint
were down 0.2% and 0.4% respectively.
MSCI's global EM equities gauge was 0.1% lower on
Friday, poised for marginal weekly losses.
Regional stocks were broadly flat, with Romania's up
marginally, while indexes in Poland and Hungary
both slipped 0.2%.
Turkey's lira was flat, while its stocks
gained 0.6% to trade at their highest level since March
17.
Meanwhile, Moody's upgraded Oman's rating to 'Baa3' on
stronger debt metrics and Fitch Ratings upgraded Bulgaria's on
euro adoption approval.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Asian stocks attract foreign inflows for second month,
but tariff outlook clouds
** Brazil has few exit routes from Trump tariff but feels
less pain
** Chinese banks stumble on Beijing's consumer lending push
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