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Turkey's lira set for best day since June 2024
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Senegal's dollar bonds gain on IMF programme hopes
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Turkey, Kenya, Bulgaria ratings to be reviewed
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MSCI EM FX, stocks indexes set for weekly gains
By Purvi Agarwal
July 25 (Reuters) - Most emerging market currencies
weakened and stocks pulled back on Friday, as investors took
stock of their holdings and braced for an upcoming week packed
with central bank meetings, U.S. data and President Donald
Trump's tariff deadline.
MSCI's index tracking global EM currencies
was down 0.3%, as most Asian currencies depreciated against the
dollar. The index, however, was set to log weekly gains after
two weeks of losses.
This week, markets took on more risk after the U.S. signed a
trade deal with Japan and signalled that more agreements were in
the works, reviving some hopes that the worst tariff impacts
could be avoided.
However, investors were cautious with risk assets in order
to brave the upcoming week, which will feature U.S. jobs data, a
meeting of the Federal Reserve and Trump's August 1 tariff
deadline.
On the day, South Africa's rand fell 0.7%. Most
emerging European currencies were subdued against the euro.
"We would expect market swings to be temporary ... trade
negotiations will ultimately lead to moderate policy, but we
expect a tariff-led economic slowdown to be mild and
short-lived, rather than recessionary," said Mark Haefele, chief
investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Turkey's lira was 0.7% higher against the
greenback, a day after its central bank delivered a surprise 300
basis point interest rate cut. The currency eyed its biggest
one-day gain since June 2024.
Worries over the independence of the Fed also remained, with
Trump's calls for lower interest rates persistent despite his
reiterating he was not planning to fire the Fed chair.
Haefele said these fears, along with lower interest rates
could continue to impact the dollar, and investors could look to
reduce their holdings.
Russia's rouble was down 0.4% against the greenback,
over-the-counter-market data showed, ahead of a central bank
decision where it is expected to cut rates by 200 basis points.
Stocks in the region also pulled back after two days of
gains, with MSCI's EM stocks gauge down 0.8%. It was
still set for a second week of gains, however.
Equities in Poland fell 0.6%, while Hungary's
were down 0.2%. Turkish stocks were little
changed, though set for their fifth week of gains, their longest
winning streak since December.
South African equities slipped 0.7%, as gold miners
weighed, tracking lower prices of the bullion.
In Senegal, international bonds extended their rally, with
dollar bonds maturing in 2033 gaining more than 1 cent to the
dollar.
The International Monetary Fund said on Thursday it would
send a mission to Dakar next month to discuss the nation's debt
misreporting case and a potential new programme.
Meanwhile, Fitch and Moody's will review their rating on
Turkey, while Kenya and Bulgaria are also due a review.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Britain and India sign free trade pact during Modi visit
** Shanghai bourse gives bond investors a taste of high
yields with new framework, sources say
** India's RBI to hold rates in August, expected to cut
again later this year
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