* Hungarian assets surge as Tisza party wins, raising
hopes for EU cooperation and reforms
* US-Iran standoff drives oil up, hits emerging market
assets
* Fitch revises Turkey outlook to stable, citing FX
reserve erosion from lira support
* World Bank President warns of looming jobs crisis amid
ongoing geopolitical instability
By Johann M Cherian
April 13 (Reuters) - Hungarian assets were the standout
performers on Monday as investors cheered the win of the
centre-right Tisza party in weekend elections, with emerging
markets more broadly coming under pressure after talks between
the U.S. and Iran failed to agree an end to the war.
Hungary's benchmark share index jumped 3% to a record
high and the forint rose 2.44% to a four-year high of
366 per euro, with the currency at one point on track for its
biggest daily jump since October 2022. International bonds
maturing in 2050 and 2052
added more than 2 cents on the dollar.
The country's veteran nationalist leader Viktor Orban lost power
to the upstart centre-right Tisza party in Sunday's national
election after 16 years in office as voters grew weary of
economic stagnation, international isolation and oligarchs
amassing wealth.
Tisza's Peter Magyar is expected to open the door to greater
cooperation with the European Union and democratic reforms that
could pave the way for Brussels releasing 19 billion euros worth
of frozen funds that could help revive a stagnating economy.
"We expect the new government to focus on mending relations
with the EU and working toward fulfilling the criteria for
adopting the single currency," analysts at UBS Global Wealth
Management said.
"With the Hungarian forint having strengthened in the
lead-up to the election in anticipation of a change in
leadership, policies implemented in preparation for the euro
adoption could also see positive actions by rating agencies."
MIDEAST KEEPS INVESTORS WARY
In the Middle East, the U.S. military said it will begin a
blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian
ports and coastal areas, after weekend talks failed to reach a
deal to end the war with Iran, jeopardizing a fragile two-week
ceasefire.
Crude prices jumped more than 7% to top $102 a barrel, which
in turn weighed on riskier emerging market assets as investors
weighed how governments will adjust fiscal and monetary policy
to contain the threat to economic growth.
The repercussions from the conflict are likely to dominate
global finance officials' talks this week in Washington, and
World Bank President Ajay Banga warned that a looming jobs
crisis is also emerging.
MSCI's index tracking EM stocks slipped 0.7%, a
currencies index dipped 0.2% as investors
flocked to the safe-haven dollar, and international bonds of
most developing economies slipped across the board, with Egypt's
bonds down about 0.9 cents
on the dollar.
The assets had rallied late last week after the announcement
of a two-week ceasefire between Tehran and Washington.
Currencies of net oil importers slipped. India's rupee
was down 0.6%, Turkey's lira eased 0.1%,
with both hovering near their respective record lows, while
South Africa's rand lost 0.8%.
Credit rating agency Fitch revised Turkey's outlook to "stable"
from "positive", citing a sharp erosion in foreign exchange
reserves due to heavy intervention to support the lira. Local
equities also took a hit, with banks down 3.2%.
Elsewhere, a weekend ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia was
allegedly breached as Ukrainian police said a Russian drone
killed one person on the front line of the eastern Donetsk
region. Kyiv's bonds were broadly steady
.
In Latin America, Peruvian assets will be in focus with
uncertainty over the results from the runoff general elections
on Sunday.