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EM stocks up 0.7%, FX up 0.2%
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Fitch revises Poland's outlook to 'negative'
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Turkey's main opposition calls for rallies
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World Bank cuts Vietnam's growth forecast
By Pranav Kashyap and Twesha Dikshit
Sept 8 (Reuters) - Indonesian stocks reversed early
gains and the rupiah spiked after the country ousted Finance
Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati in a cabinet shake-up on Monday,
while Turkish assets continued to slide.
The rupiah spiked 0.7%, set for its biggest intraday
gain in over two months, while stocks in Jakarta quickly
reversed course to fall over 1.2% to an over one-week low.
Her removal follows two weeks of nationwide unrest and
demands by protesters for a fairer tax system. Indonesia
appointed Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa, the head of the Indonesia
Deposit Insurance Corporation, as its new finance minister.
"Mulyani's departure, though not unexpected after recent
unrest, marks the end of an era of fiscal credibility," said
Mohit Mirpuri, fund manager, SGMC Capital.
"She's left strong foundations, and with experienced
technocrats / candidates (like Suahasil Nazara or Chatib Basri)
in the wings, I expect Indonesia will regroup quickly."
Meanwhile, Istanbul stocks fell 1.1% to a six-week
low as the lira hovered near record lows and two-
and five-year bond yields hit one-month
highs.
Tensions spiked as the main opposition CHP urged rallies
after police ringed its Istanbul headquarters with barricades-an
action the party leader denounced as a "siege."
Renewed political uncertainty has sparked a fresh flight
from Turkish assets since a court ordered the dismissal of CHP
officials. The party has faced a months-long legal crackdown,
including against Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu-the president's
chief rival-whose March arrest ignited Turkey's largest street
protests in a decade.
"If recent political uncertainties lead to a swift and
sustained deterioration in appetite for lira and place
significant pressure on reserves as we approach the monetary
policy meeting, we believe they would be open to a smaller cut
or even remaining on hold," said Yigit Onay, economist at
Deutsche Bank.
Thailand's baht, meanwhile, hit an over four-year
high against the dollar, as political jitters eased following
the election of its new prime minister on Friday, capping off
months of political uncertainty.
The yield of the country's two-year hit its
lowest in over three years, while stocks in Bangkok were
at their highest in nearly a month.
The MSCI gauge for emerging market stocks rose
0.7%, while a similar gauge for stocks ticked up
0.2%.
Vietnamese equities fell to a two-week low, after the
World Bank trimmed its forecast for the country's economic
growth on evidence that U.S. tariffs were starting to have an
impact on the exporter's shipments.
In central and eastern Europe, most currencies were trading
marginally lower against the euro, while equities were mixed.
Romanian equities fell 0.3% following the broad
coalition government's advancement of deficit-lowering tax hikes
and spending cuts packages after surviving four back-to-back no
confidence votes.
The country currently has the highest budget deficit in the
European Union that it must lower to avert a ratings downgrade
from the last rung of investment grade.
Polish stocks jumped 1.4%, despite Fitch Ratings
revising the country's outlook to "negative" from "stable",
citing growing risks to public finances as the key driver.
EM currencies gained momentum as investors amped up bets on
a Federal Reserve rate cut this month after fresh data signalled
more cracks in the U.S. labour market.
Markets have fully priced a 25 bp move and now assign about
a 10% chance to a larger 50 bp cut-up from zero a week ago, CME
FedWatch showed.
Elsewhere, South African stocks and the rand
hit a two-week high, ahead of the releases of gross domestic
product figures on Tuesday.
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