*
Brazil's services activity rises in line with forecasts in
July
*
Argentine peso eyes its worst week since December 2023
*
Fitch affirms South Africa at 'BB-'; outlook 'stable'
*
Latam stocks up 0.08%, FX up 0.41%
(Updates with afternoon trading)
By Pranav Kashyap, Twesha Dikshit and Nikhil Sharma
Sept 11 (Reuters) -
Latin American equities and currencies edged closer to a
sixth consecutive weekly gain on Friday, buoyed by mounting
expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, while political
uncertainty shrouded
Brazil
after former President Jair Bolsonaro's
conviction
.
A gauge of Latin American currencies
rose 0.41% to a record high, marking its third straight
record-setting session. A parallel stock index
advanced 0.08% on Friday.
In Brazil, investors assessed the potential economic and
political ramifications of Bolsonaro's 27-year, three-month
prison
sentence
for plotting a coup to retain power following his 2022
electoral defeat.
Despite political unrest, Brazil's local currency, the
real, remained resilient, climbing 0.7% to its highest
level in over a year.
"The market's reaction so far suggests it was expecting
this court verdict, even though the possibility of turbulence
and short-term political instability has risen, which could
increase risk premia," Dev Ashish, senior Latin America
economist at Societe Generale, said in a note.
Fresh data
showed
Brazil's services sector
expanded
for the sixth consecutive month in July, defying a tight
monetary policy environment.
While August's inflation data showed a negative monthly
reading, the central bank emphasized the need to maintain
restrictive interest rates for an extended period, due to
persistent price pressures that remain above the 3% target,
which includes a tolerance band of 1.5 percentage points on
either side.
The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady
at its policy meeting next week.
"There is still little resolution to where the political
dynamic in Brazil will take us, but the short-term risks to
overall sentiment remain high under the prospect of new
sanctions from the U.S.," said Thierry Wizman, global FX and
rates strategist at Macquarie.
Meanwhile, the Mexican peso held steady for the day,
while the country's main stock index gained 0.46% to
reach an all-time high, both poised for strong weekly advances.
Latam currencies and equities this week benefited from a
weaker U.S. dollar, following data that pointed to a softening
labor market and reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve
interest rate cut in September.
However, Argentine assets remained under pressure after
President Javier Milei's defeat in Sunday's Buenos Aires
provincial election, raising concerns over the viability of his
austerity agenda ahead of October's midterms.
Buenos Aires stocks fell 3.2% on Friday, heading
for their worst weekly performance in more than five months. The
local peso dropped 1.4% to a fresh record low,
marking its seventh consecutive losing session and its worst
week since December 2023.
Colombia's peso was on track for a seventh straight
weekly gain - its longest run since December 2020, while the
stock index recorded a weekly loss.
Elsewhere, Russia's central bank trimmed interest rates
by 100 basis points to 17%, a smaller reduction than expected,
citing stubbornly high inflation and elevated expectations.
Currency ruble ended 0.6% higher on Friday but was down
3.4% for the week.
Meanwhile, Fitch affirmed South Africa's credit rating at
'BB-' with a "stable" outlook, highlighting persistent growth
challenges due to a sluggish recovery in logistics, weak
investment levels and uncertainty surrounding external trade
relations.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1324.9 1.13
MSCI LatAm 2484.25 0.08
Brazil Bovespa 142319.36 -0.58
Mexico IPC 61825.69 0.46
Chile IPSA 8989.72 -1.77
Argentina MerVal 1747749.59 -3.2
Colombia COLCAP 1844.52 -0.54
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.353 0.68
Mexico peso 18.436 0.02
Chile peso 953.9 -0.4
Colombia peso 3896.5 -0.23
Peru sol 3.4909 -0.09
Argentina peso (interbank) 1,453.0 -1.40
Argentina peso (parallel) 1,405.0 0.35