* MSCI LatAm stocks down 1%, FX down 0.6%
* Brazil retail sales beat forecasts in January
* IEA agrees to release 400 mln barrels of oil
(Updates with late afternoon trading)
By Pranav Kashyap and Purvi Agarwal
March 11 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies and
stocks fell on Wednesday, as investors assessed the implications
of the Middle East conflict, now in its twelfth day, while also
parsing local economic data.
MSCI's gauge of regional equities slipped 1%
from a one-week high. Its counterpart tracking Latin American
currencies fell 0.6%, retreating from recent
peaks.
Iran's military command said the world should be prepared
for oil to hit $200 a barrel as hostilities continued, in sharp
contrast to Tuesday's de-escalation hopes after U.S. President
Donald Trump predicted the war was nearly over, which fueled a
global relief rally.
The International Energy Agency agreed to release 400
million barrels of oil on Wednesday, the largest such move in
its history, to try to restrain soaring crude oil prices, which
settled more than 4% higher on the day.
Investors remain on edge as the war threatens to choke
global energy trade and trigger a fresh price shock, a risk
world leaders are scrambling to contain.
"As long as the Strait of Hormuz remains all but shut,
tapping IEA emergency oil reserves would only offer a
short-lived remedy," said Elias Haddad, global head of markets
strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. "It would not take much for
fears to flare up again."
Latin America's commodity-heavy and oil-exporting economies
have held up better than the oil-dependent peers in Asia and
emerging Europe. Still, analysts said a broader flight to
safe-haven assets, coupled with growing concerns about a global
economic slowdown, has started to weigh on the region.
"As long as oil prices stay high, traders will distinguish
between (non-belligerent) oil producers/exporters and oil
importers on the other... To us, Brazil, Colombia and South
Africa are the biggest gainers," said Thierry Wizman, global FX
and rates strategist at Macquarie Group.
Colombia's peso and Brazil's real were both
subdued. Mexico's peso weakened 0.5% against a rising
dollar, driven by safe-haven appeal.
Chile's peso depreciated 0.5%, after clocking its
biggest one-day jump since November 2023 in the previous
session. Local stocks fell 0.9%, partly weighed down
by a dip in copper prices.
Heavyweight Brazilian stocks were muted. Brazil's
retail sales volumes exceeded expectations and returned to the
positive territory in January, government data showed.
Separately, U.S. inflation ticked up in line with estimates
in February, but was overshadowed by the Iran war.
In Buenos Aires, stocks advanced 2.4%. They were
hovering near their highest in two weeks and set for a fourth
straight session of gains - their longest winning streak in more
than a month.
The rally came a day after President Javier Milei sought to
reassure Wall Street that Argentina's economic recovery remains
on course despite market jitters sparked by the war in Iran, and
said the central bank would soon be flush with dollars.
The peso, however, surrendered its early declines
and was last trading 0.3% higher against the dollar.
Although the regional equity and currency indexes have pared
part of their early-year gains, they are still up 14% and 6%,
respectively, so far in 2026 - outperforming the S&P 500,
which remains in the negative territory.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
Equities Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1512.59 0.55
MSCI LatAm 3077.88 -0.97
Brazil Bovespa 183371.19 -0.04
Mexico IPC 67377.1 -0.03
Chile IPSA 10506.63 -0.92
Argentina Merval 2764755.3 2.39
1
Colombia COLCAP 2266.03 -0.29
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.166 -0.13
Mexico peso 17.676 -0.47
Chile peso 894.87 -0.54
Colombia peso 3698.86 -0.02
Peru sol 3.4212 -0.05
Argentina peso (interbank) 1395 0.29
Argentina peso (parallel) 1395 0.71