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EMERGING MARKETS-LatAm assets start November strong; Brazil, Mexico rate calls loom
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EMERGING MARKETS-LatAm assets start November strong; Brazil, Mexico rate calls loom
Nov 3, 2025 12:48 PM

*

Brazil and Mexico rate decisions due this week

*

Argentina's agro export revenue plunges in October

*

Chile's economic activity up 3.2% in September

(Updates with afternoon trading)

By Nikhil Sharma and Sukriti Gupta

Nov 3 (Reuters) - Latin American assets opened November

on a strong footing on Monday, kicking off a pivotal week packed

with key data and monetary policy decisions from regional

economic powerhouses Brazil and Mexico.

MSCI's regional stock gauge was up 0.5%,

tracking a global rally on optimism about a U.S.-China trade

truce. A parallel index for local currencies

also rose 0.5%.

"What ultimately is helping the appreciation of other

currencies against the dollar is the idea that the global growth

narrative can improve... getting along with China and trying to

minimize any damage to each other is actually a very good sign

for the rest of the globe," said Juan Perez, director of trading

at Monex.

Regional markets ended October with modest gains after a

roller-coaster ride as shifting global rate expectations and

geopolitical tensions shaped investor sentiment.

Argentina was a stand-out last month, as its stocks

skyrocketed following a surprise victory for President Javier

Milei's party in midterm elections, bolstering investor

confidence in his economic overhaul and signaling continued

support from Washington.

The main stock index surged a record 44.5% last week

and extended its rally on Monday, rising another 3.8% to a new

high.

The local peso was down 2.3%. The country's

agricultural export revenue dropped 56% in October from a year

earlier to $1.12 billion.

In Brazil, economists see the central bank holding the Selic

at a near two-decade high of 15% on Wednesday.

While high interest rates are helping to rein in inflation,

which remains above the target range, they are beginning to

weigh on the economic activity.

"We don't expect really strong equity gains until interest

rates are much lower than they are now. But the high rates will

be good for the currency," said Jon Harrison, managing director

of EM macro strategy at TS Lombard.

The country benchmark Bovespa index was up 0.45%,

while the real currency added 0.32%. A survey showed

contraction in factory activity eased in October amid cooling

cost pressures.

Mexico also braced for a rate-setting announcement due

Thursday, with consensus favoring a continuation of the easing

cycle in view of slowing inflation and a weak economy.

This would mark the Bank of Mexico's 12th reduction since it

began a cycle of easing in early 2024. Mexican equities

slipped 0.8% and the local peso added 0.3%.

Investors will also sift through Mexico's key inflation,

industrial output and consumer confidence data, scheduled for

release later this week.

In other regional economies, the Colombian peso added

0.1%. Colombia's central bank held the benchmark rate at 9.25%

last week amid inflation uncertainty and favorable economic

data.

Chile's currency jumped 0.5% as economic activity

grew 3.2% in September compared to a year earlier, boosted by

gains in trade and services.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

Stock indexes Latest Daily %

change

MSCI Emerging Markets 1409.76 0.59

MSCI LatAm 2585.98 0.46

Brazil Bovespa 150227.93 0.46

Mexico IPC 62262.88 -0.81

Chile IPSA 9511.78 0.88

Argentina Merval 3119637.71 3.89

Colombia COLCAP 1987.12 -0.18

Currencies Latest Daily %

change

Brazil real 5.3576 0.3

Mexico peso 18.477 0.35

Chile peso 937.07 0.54

Colombia peso 3854.64 0.08

Peru sol 3.375 -0.31

Argentina peso (interbank) 1478.5 -2.35

Argentina peso (parallel) 1425 -9.12

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