*
Peru's central bank expected to leave interest rates
unchanged
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Brazil's retail sales unexpectedly rise to record high in
May
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Latam stocks up 0.3%, FX off 0.3%
(Updated at 03:30 p.m. ET/ 1930 GMT)
By Johann M Cherian and Shristi Achar A
July 11 (Reuters) -
A gauge of Latin American currencies fell against the dollar
on Thursday, with investors cautious ahead of an interest rate
decision in Peru and assessed Banxico's monetary policy minutes.
MSCI's index tracking regional currencies
slipped 0.3% against a weakening dollar, after data showed that
headline U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in June.
However, the dollar's slip saw the Japanese yen
jump nearly 3%, its biggest daily surge since late 2022, raising
questions about official buying of the Asian currency.
Back in resources-rich Latin America, Brazil's real
fell nearly 0.6%, with traders assessing retail sales data that
showed an unexpected rise to record highs, a day after data
signaled moderating price pressures for consumers.
Markets also assessed the implications of a tax overhaul
that the country's lower house approved, which aims to boost
productivity by streamlining a tax system critics blame for
burdening businesses with excessive costs.
"It is a good thing because in the past ... it was a web of
taxes and it was so complicated that it discouraged a lot of
economic activity," said Eduardo Ordonez Bueso, an emerging
markets debt portfolio manager at BankInvest.
Separately, the country's Senate Committee postponed voting
on a constitutional amendment proposal granting the central bank
greater financial autonomy from the executive.
Concerns around Brazil's fiscal standing along with central
bank independence have been among top reasons for the real
trading near two-year lows following a recent plunge in value.
The Mexican peso edged 0.3% up. Minutes from the
local central bank's June monetary policy meeting showed the
five-member governing board foresaw that the inflationary
environment may allow for discussing further rate cuts at
upcoming meetings.
Chile's peso and Peru's sol gained 0.1% and
0.6% respectively, with the currencies of both copper exporting
countries hovering near one-month highs.
Focus was on an interest rate decision by the Peruvian
central bank later in the day, where economists polled by
Reuters see borrowing costs being held at 5.75%.
"The (Monetary Policy Committee) has likely entered the
fine-tuning stage of the cutting cycle. Accordingly, we view the
MPC as favoring a cautious wait-and-see approach to cutting that
endows it with greater policy flexibility," strategists at
Goldman Sachs said in a note.
MSCI's index tracking regional equity indexes
climbed nearly 0.3%, with heavyweight Brazil's
Bovespa adding 0.8%, helped by a 2% rise in Telefonica
Brasil ( VIV ) on a Morgan Stanley upgrade.
Bourses in Mexico, Chile and Argentina
rose between 0.3% and 0.9%.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund said Argentina's
preliminary data show the program's fiscal and reserves targets
continue to be met.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market prices from
Reuters
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1125.92 1.32
MSCI LatAm 2308.18 0.28
Brazil Bovespa 128237.62 0.8
Mexico IPC 54460.33 0.33
Chile IPSA 6526.91 0.92
Argentina MerVal 1703600.39 0.804
Colombia COLCAP 1370.57 0.34
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.4438 -0.58
Mexico peso 17.7623 0.30
Chile peso 914.2 0.12
Colombia peso 3977.5 -0.31
Peru sol 3.7459 0.65
Argentina peso (interbank) 919.0000 0.00
Argentina peso (parallel) 1445 0.35