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Latam stocks up 1.2%, FX flat
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Mexico's inflation at 4.55% YoY
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Brazil economists see higher inflation despite rate hikes
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El Salvador nears $1.3 bln IMF deal, report says
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China to adopt appropriately loose policy
(Updates to afternoon trading)
By Pranav Kashyap and Johann M Cherian
Dec 9 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies began
the week on a cautious note ahead of a slew of economic data
from the region, while main equity indexes got a lift from
resources-heavy stocks on signs of policy support out of China.
Brazil's real was last flat in choppy trading on
Monday, as investors avoided big bets ahead of a central bank
interest rate decision, with markets tilting in favor of a 100
basis points interest rate hike.
A weekly poll showed that private economists have raised
their forecasts for the country's benchmark interest rate for
both this year and next, amidst rising inflation projections.
The focus is now on Brazil's IPCA inflation index figures
for November, with economists polled by Reuters expecting a
slowdown in consumer inflation to 0.37% on a monthly basis.
MSCI's index for Latin American currencies
was flat.
Mexico's peso edged up 0.1% at 20.17 to the dollar.
Data showing a greater-than-expected easing in the country's
12-month headline inflation rate in November, buttressing
expectations that the central bank will continue to reduce its
benchmark interest rate at its meeting next week.
"The fall in Mexico's headline inflation rate, combined with
the relative resilience in the peso since the U.S. election
means that Banxico is likely to press ahead with another 25 bps
cut," said Kimberley Sperrfechter, emerging markets economist at
Capital Economics.
Still, markets are bracing for what U.S. President-elect
Donald Trump's trade, security and immigration policies aimed at
the country might be. The peso and the local stocks index
is among top underperformers in the region. On the day the
bourse added 1.7% and touched a one-month high.
The Chilean peso firmed 0.7% as prices of top export
commodity, copper rose a touch a one-month high.
China's Politburo was quoted saying that it will adopt
an "appropriately loose" monetary policy next year, the first
easing of its stance in some 14 years, alongside a more
proactive fiscal policy to spur economic growth.
Further, the Chilean central bank reported that copper
exports reached $4.22 billion in November, contributing to a
trade surplus.
Fellow copper exporter Peru's sol was pinned at a
two-month high, while oil exporter Colombia's peso firmed
0.8% and hit a two-week high.
On the equities front, MSCI's index tracking local stocks
gained 1.2%, with Brazil's Bovespa up
1%, as miner Vale surged 5.6% and oil company
Petrobras added 2.8% tracking upbeat crude and base
metals prices.
Argentina's Merval index rose 1.3%, with oil company
YPF jumping 3.6%, while Chilean stocks
added 1% and hit a more than one-month high.
In Central America, El Salvador's dollar bonds maturing in
2030 and 2029 rose.
A report said the country expects to reach a $1.3 billion
loan agreement with the International Monetary Fund within two
to three weeks in return for adjustments to its use of bitcoin
as legal tender and reductions in government deficits.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
MSCI Emerging Markets 1114.59 0.86
MSCI LatAm 2023.29 1.22
Brazil Bovespa 127236.43 1.02
Mexico IPC 52203.05 1.66
Chile IPSA 6715.2 1
Argentina Merval 2231855.9 1.335
5
Colombia COLCAP 1380.76 0.27
Brazil real 6.0841 0.09
Mexico peso 20.1722 0.07
Chile peso 968.02 0.7
Colombia peso 4368.63 0.82
Peru sol 3.718 -0.05
Argentina peso (interbank) 1015.5
-0.25
Argentina peso (parallel) 1045 0.48