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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam markets set to end week broadly lower against resurgent dollar
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam markets set to end week broadly lower against resurgent dollar
Jan 3, 2025 11:49 AM

*

Mexico SA jobless rate 2.7% in November

*

Chile's peso drops over 1%

*

PBOC says will cut rates at proper time

*

Latam stocks index down 0.9%, FX index flat

(Updates with afternoon trading prices)

By Lisa Pauline Mattackal

Jan 3 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies were

set for weekly losses on Friday, with the U.S. dollar looking

set to continue its strong performance in 2025 amid inflationary

pressures and expectations for relatively higher for longer U.S.

interest rates.

MSCI's index of regional currencies held

steady at 2639.26 points, though set for a weekly loss of about

0.3%, its third straight weekly decline.

MSCI's index of Latin American stocks lost

0.9% on the day, hovering near 2020 lows and set for its fourth

consecutive week of declines after ending 2024 over 30% weaker.

Chile's peso dropped 1.2% on the day. It was on track

for its worst week since October and trading at an over a

two-year low.

Caution dominated the first few trading days of the year,

with the dollar hovering at two-year highs, supported by

expectations of a slower pace of rate cuts from the U.S. Federal

Reserve.

That has raised the risk of further weakness in EM

currencies and capital outflows as riskier asset classes look

less attractive to investors.

Donald Trump's return as U.S. president later this month has

also weighed on the outlook for EMs, particularly his stated

plans for hefty global import tariffs that could weigh

especially on economies such as China and Mexico.

"U.S. growth, tax cuts and tariffs against China will likely

strengthen USD in H1 2025," analysts at Continuum Economics

said.

"However USD is more overvalued than (during) Trump's first

term and USD will likely see a H2 reversal against (developed

market) majors and select emerging markets."

On the day, Mexico's peso lost 0.5% against the

dollar, set to fall over 1.7% for the week and giving back gains

from the prior session. Data showed its seasonally adjusted

jobless rate was 2.7% in November.

Argentina's main stock index was 0.6% higher on the

day, hovering at record highs and looked set to continue its

banner run from 2024 when it soared over 172%. It was set to

rise more than 5% for the week, the best performer in the

region.

Brazil's real weakened 0.4% against the greenback,

though set for its first weekly advance in three.

Elsewhere, China's central bank said it will cut banks'

reserve requirement ratio and interest rates at the "proper

time" during a quarterly meeting of its monetary policy

committee held last week, according to a statement published on

Friday.

HIGHLIGHTS

** China's cenbank warns mutual funds against feeding bond

frenzy, sources say

** Argentina's state airline cuts staff, routes, passenger

perks ahead of possible sale

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

MSCI Emerging Markets 1072.7 0.16

MSCI LatAm 1843.6 -0.86

Brazil Bovespa 118591.01 -1.28

Mexico IPC 49119.82 -1.3

Chile IPSA 6700.17 0.27

Argentina Merval 2710648.9 0.557

9

Colombia COLCAP 1398.05 -0.11

Brazil real 6.1751 -0.38

Mexico peso 20.6731 -0.45

Chile peso 1015.84 -1.22

Colombia peso 4345.5 0.63

Peru sol 3.767 -0.37

Argentina peso 1032 0.00

(interbank)

Argentina peso (parallel) 1185 2.53

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