(Updated at 1530 GMT)
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Bovespa leads Latam stocks lower
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Oil slips in choppy trading after Golan Heights attack
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Rate decisions in Chile, Brazil, Colombia this week
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Ethiopia floats currency
By Lisa Pauline Mattackal
July 29 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks and currencies
slipped on Monday as investors assessed geopolitical risks ahead
of a week packed with key central bank policy decisions, while
Venezuelan bonds fell after the results of its presidential
election were hotly contested.
MSCI's index tracking Latam stocks fell 1.1% to a nearly
four-week low, while an index of regional currencies lost 0.5%
as a stronger U.S. dollar also pressured local assets.
Trading was cautious ahead of a raft of central bank
decisions this week, with the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan
the most closely watched.
Further weighing on sentiment, worries increased over
escalating conflict in the Middle East after a rocket strike in
the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.
Venezuela was in focus as both President Nicolas Maduro and
opposition rival Edmundo Gonzalez claimed victory in its
presidential election, with several countries both regionally
and internationally questioning the results.
Venezuela's sovereign bonds fell, with the 2038 maturity
down 1.75 cents, while state oil firm PDVSA's
2022 bond fell as much as 1.6 cents.
The Fed is widely expected to keep rates on hold at its
meeting this week, with all focus on whether policymakers signal
they could start easing policy in September, while the BOJ will
be watched for a potential rate hike and any further changes to
its bond-buying program.
"Latin American central banks certainly would welcome a
dovish surprise from the Fed," said Geoff Yu, macro strategist
at BNY Mellon.
"If the Fed does lean toward a dovish interpretation and
this is subsequently complemented by resilient monetary policy
postures across Latin America, there is scope for Latin American
currency flows to recover."
Emerging markets have struggled over the past year as
interest rates in economies such as the U.S. have dimmed the
relative appeal of higher yielding but riskier EM assets,
particularly in Latin America where policymakers across the
region have eased policy to stimulate economic growth.
Regionally, rate decisions from the central banks of
Colombia, Brazil and Chile are also due this week.
Chile's peso was down 0.5% against the dollar ahead
of Tuesday's rate decision, where analysts expect the central
bank to ease policy by 25 basis points.
Brazil's state-run oil firm Petrobras lost 3% as
oil prices reversed early gains, while Colombia's Ecopetrol
dipped 0.9%.
Brazil's finance ministry official Guilherme Mello told
Reuters that economic uncertainties still prevented a rate cut.
Brazil's real was little changed on the day.
Peru's sol outperformed regional peers, rising 0.6%
against the dollar.
Elsewhere, Ethiopia's birr sank around 30% against the
dollar after the central bank floated its currency, in hopes the
move would increase chances of support for its struggling
economy from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and enable
progress on debt restructuring.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Poll: Global economy's growing resilience at odds with
rate cut expectations
** Ratings agency Fitch upgrades Pakistan's credit rating
** EXCLUSIVE-Union at BHP's Escondida mine urges rejection
of contract offer, strike possible
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1530 GMT:
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1076.72 0.41
MSCI LatAm 2172.59 -1.09
Brazil Bovespa 126780.49 -0.56
Mexico IPC 52832.39 0.02
Chile IPSA 6427.47 -0.08
Argentina MerVal 1516215.33 -1.674
Colombia COLCAP 1342.97 -0.2
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.6628 -0.09
Mexico peso 18.6747 -1.20
Chile peso 956.5 -0.52
Colombia peso 4067.77 -1.21
Argentina peso (interbank) 930.5000 -0.11
Argentina peso (parallel) 1400 2.50