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LatAm stocks down 1.1%, FX down 0.3%
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Chile's September copper exports down 2% at $4.39 billion
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Colombian inflation data later in the day
(Updates with afternoon prices, analyst comment)
By Nikhil Sharma and Pranav Kashyap
Oct 7 (Reuters) -
Latin American currencies slipped on Tuesday, dragged down
by a firmer dollar, with Brazil's real leading the retreat as
investors braced for key inflation data across the region.
Brazil's real fell 0.7%, heading for its sharpest
drop in two weeks after inflation data showed the IGP-DI index
rose 0.36% in September, missing forecasts. Brazil's benchmark
Bovespa index tumbled 1.5% to a one-month low, on track
for its worst single-day fall in nearly two months if losses
hold.
Investors are now eyeing
Thursday's IPCA print
- a key inflation gauge - for signs of mounting price
pressures.
Meanwhile,
trade relations
were in focus after a call between Presidents Luiz Inacio
Lula da Silva and Donald Trump hinted at a potential in-person
meeting to resolve disputes.
"While Lula and Trump don't seem to get along, they found
like a way of dealing with each other that's mutually
acceptable. So we don't really think that there will be a lot of
drama with respect to Brazil looking forward," Philip Meier,
deputy chief investment officer at Gramercy Funds Management,
said.
The World Bank lifted its growth estimate for Latin America
and the Caribbean next year, though the region remains the
world's slowest-growing due to stubborn inflation, high debt,
and rising uncertainties due to U.S. tariff policies.
Brazil's estimate for 2025 remained at 2.4%, with expansion
seen decelerating to 2.2% next year. Mexico's economy is now
expected to grow 0.5% this year, up from June's 0.2% forecast,
with growth accelerating to 1.4% next year.
A gauge of the region's equities fell 1.1%
to a near one-month low but has grown about 33% this year,
indicating investors' hunt for better returns in territories
beyond the developed markets.
The Aberdeen House View said it expects EM equities to
continue performing well, citing cheaper valuations and support
from a weaker dollar.
"Generally speaking, EM is a sought after again ... We are
in a world where people want to diversify away from the U.S.
dollar, away from U.S. assets and EM will benefit," Meier added.
Mexican stocks were flat, while the local peso
slipped 0.3% ahead of the country's crucial inflation data later
this week.
In Chile, the currency firmed 0.3% and the Santiago
stock index edged down 0.2%. The world's largest
copper producer, Chile, saw its red metal exports fall 2.03% in
September to $4.39 billion on a year-over-year basis.
The Colombian peso dipped 0.4% and equities
fell 0.2% ahead of the day's inflation data.
In Argentina, the peso was stable, while the main
equity index lost 0.5% as investors approached the
October 26 midterms, where President Javier Milei will aim to
stage a comeback after last month's bruising defeat in
provincial elections.
Elsewhere, the Israeli shekel eased, pulling back
from a three-year high hit in the previous session, while the
country's international dollar bonds firmed as the country
marked two years after the Gaza conflict erupted. Trump pledged
support for Gaza security guarantees and signaled that a deal to
free the remaining hostages may be near.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
MSCI Emerging Markets 1372.93 0.05
MSCI LatAm 2462.06 -1.04
Brazil Bovespa 141443.93 -1.51
Mexico IPC 60382.12 -0.04
Argentina Merval 1793532.5 -0.501
5
Chile IPSA 8828.93 -0.04
Colombia COLCAP 1859.61 -0.19
Brazil real 5.3471 -0.65
Mexico peso 18.3839 -0.27
Chile peso 959.1 0.23
Colombia peso 3873.7 -0.4
Peru sol 3.4406 0.53
Argentina peso (interbank) 1429.5 0.03
Argentina peso (parallel) 1440 0.69