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Mexican peso bounces off seven-week lows
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Dollar rises after U.S. services sector data
(Updated at 3:31 p.m. EDT/ 1931 GMT)
By Sruthi Shankar
June 5 (Reuters) - The Mexican peso rebounded on
Wednesday from seven-week lows against the dollar a day earlier
as investors weighed the political path for Latin America's
second-biggest economy after the ruling coalition won a
landslide election victory on Sunday.
The peso strengthened by 1.6% to 17.57 per dollar,
after shedding about 5% in the past two days when traders
fretted about the ramifications of the election, which will see
Claudia Sheinbaum become president and her Morena party and its
allies poised for a super-majority in Congress.
Investors worry that the government could usher in
constitutional change and diminish checks and balances.
Morena and its allies will likely have 83 senators in the
next Congress, just shy of the two-thirds majority needed in the
chamber to change the constitution, the country's interior
minister said.
While the peso appeared to stabilize on Wednesday, other
Latin American currencies such as the Brazilian real,
Colombian peso and Chilean peso struggled to
make headway as the dollar firmed against its major peers.
The U.S. services sector snapped back into growth mode in
May after a short-lived contraction in the prior month,
according to a survey that may buttress the Federal Reserve's
wariness of a shift to interest rate cuts.
"We find that the market has struggled to price faster
cutting cycles in EM (emerging markets) unless the market
expectation of the first rate cut by the Fed is within striking
distance (less than three months away)," noted Tadas Gedminas,
an economist at Goldman Sachs.
"In the event that we get pre-election Fed cuts, we would
highlight local rates in Czechia, Hungary and Mexico as
potential candidates to benefit the most from this, although in
the case of Mexico this would also depend on how the
post-election dust settles."
A Reuters poll found that EM currencies will struggle to
rebound this year, pressured by a Fed that is in no rush to cut
rates and some pivotal national election results.
The poll also showed the 12-month consensus forecast for the
Brazilian real was downgraded to the weakest in one year,
suggesting its recent decline may become a longer-term issue,
rather than a passing trend.
Amid risk-on moves in global stock markets, a gauge of Latin
American equities climbed 0.6% after a six-day
run of losses that had pushed it to a seven-month low.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Winter deepens misery for Argentina's poor following
Milei's financial cuts
** BHP and union to begin talks to avert strike at Chilean
copper mine
**
Brazil's industrial output
falls more than expected in April
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1063.48 1.1
MSCI LatAm 2286.85 0.55
Brazil Bovespa 121320.15 -0.4
Mexico IPC 54321.01 1.56
Chile IPSA 6650.85 0.8
Argentina MerVal 1575707.34 -0.345
Colombia COLCAP 1405.52 0.11
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.2969 -0.23
Mexico peso 17.5774 1.57
Chile peso 908.8 -0.41
Colombia peso 3932 -0.01
Peru sol 3.7366 -0.45
Argentina peso 898.0000 -0.06
(interbank)
Argentina peso 1230 2.85
(parallel)