* Central banks intervene as EM currencies weaken,
inflation and debt risks rise
* Mozambique debt downgraded by Fitch, IMF to discuss new
loan in June
* S&P Global Ratings warns African sovereign credit risks
likely to worsen
* US imposes preliminary anti-dumping duties on solar
imports from India, Indonesia, Laos
By Johann M Cherian
April 24 (Reuters) - Most emerging markets stocks and
currencies were on track for weekly losses on Friday as
uncertainty around a lasting end to the U.S.-Iran conflict kept
crude prices higher and turned investors averse to riskier
assets.
Global markets see-sawed for much of the week as investors
reacted to headlines that raised hopes of an imminent end to the
conflict, even as developments in the Middle East offered little
cause for optimism.
MSCI's index tracking emerging market stocks edged
up 0.6% on Friday and was set for small weekly gains as
tech-heavy Asian stocks in Korea and Taiwan did
much of the heavy lifting on artificial intelligence optimism
and strong results from SK Hynix.
However, indexes tracking bourses in the ASEAN region
, emerging Europe and Latin
America were headed for weekly declines.
A broader EM currencies index dipped 0.1%
and was set for weekly losses as investors flocked to the
safe-haven dollar.
Currencies such as Indonesia's rupiah and India's
rupee hovered near record lows, prompting defensive
actions by their respective central banks earlier this week.
Meanwhile, hawkish monetary policy decisions by central banks in
Turkey and the Philippines, stemming from inflation concerns,
did little to stall the slide in the peso and the lira
.
"An inflation shock seems unavoidable now, and the key
question is the intensity and duration," Bas van Geffen, senior
macro strategist at Rabobank, said in a note.
"The longer the conflict in the Middle East remains
unresolved, the bigger the stagflationary impact will be."
SLOW DOWN WORRIES LOOM
Further greenback strength and higher crude prices,
denominated in dollars, are likely to pressure developing
economies' fiscal and current account balances, with a majority
of the countries also having to face elevated costs when
servicing their hard-currency debt.
S&P Global Ratings warned that the risks to African
sovereign credit scores were likely to worsen, with Egypt,
Mozambique and Rwanda among the "most exposed".
Fitch downgraded Mozambique debt deeper to junk status on
Thursday, with the International Monetary Fund saying it will
send a team to the country in June for advance talks on a new
loan programme. Mozambique's international dollar bonds
slipped 0.2 cents on the dollar.
On the flipside, higher crude prices have benefitted
net-energy producers such as Kazakhstan and Russia, as the tenge
and the rouble have gained about 9% and 4% so far
this year, respectively.
The Kazakhstan central bank left benchmark rates on hold and
said it would be prepared to consider rate cuts in the future,
while economists anticipate Russia to lower borrowing costs by
50 basis points later in the day.
In emerging Europe, political jitters continued in Romania
as seven ministers from the largest party in the ruling
coalition, the Social Democrats, resigned from the pro-European
government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, depriving him of a
parliamentary majority and endangering access to EU funds.
The country's international bonds
slipped 0.4 cents on the dollar, while the
cost for insuring against a potential sovereign default within
the next five years edged up 0.3 basis points to
166 - its highest since October.
In some positive news, the European Union formally approved
a 90-billion-euro ($105-billion) loan to Ukraine and new
sanctions against Russia, after oil started flowing through
Ukraine to Hungary and Slovakia, prompting Budapest to end its
veto on the funds.
Some Ukrainian dollar bonds
were marginally higher.
On the trade front, the U.S. announced preliminary
anti-dumping duties on solar cells and panels imported from
India, Indonesia and Laos, the latest in a string of tariffs
imposed over a decade on solar imports from Asia.