* Latin American stocks up 3.9%, currencies up 1.4%
* Keiko Fujimori takes lead in Peru's presidential race
* Argentina's stocks at record high after S&P Global
upgrades credit rating
(Updates with afternoon levels)
By Avinash P and Ragini Mathur
June 11 (Reuters) - Peruvian stocks rose on Thursday after
market favorite Keiko Fujimori reclaimed a slender lead in a
closely watched presidential election, while broader Latin
American equities and currencies were buoyed by signs of a
potential Middle East peace deal.
Peru's presidential election remained in focus after
Fujimori, the conservative candidate, edged slightly ahead of
leftist rival Roberto Sanchez.
Fujimori now has a lead of just around 650 votes after about
18 million were counted, with 98.21% of polling stations having
reported, according to Peru's ONPE electoral authority.
The final result could be critical for the country's
markets. Fujimori has pledged to preserve Peru's
business-friendly policy framework, while Sanchez, who had
overtaken her earlier in the week, has promised reforms to the
country's mining-heavy economy.
Lima's stocks index gained 4%, on pace for
biggest one-day gain since late 2023. Peru's sol was
flat.
"Overall, market movements suggest that investors are
adjusting expectations as the probability of each candidate's
victory evolves, rather than pricing in a clear directional
outcome," said Pablo Nano, deputy head economist at Scotiabank.
U.S. DOLLAR EASES AS GEOPOLITICAL RISKS RECEDE
The dollar edged 0.4% lower, reflecting easing geopolitical
uncertainty after U.S. President Donald Trump called off planned
military strikes on Iran at the last minute and said
negotiations were moving toward a possible deal.
Still, BNY analyst Geoff Yu cautioned that "LatAm currencies
will need to monitor elevated short-term dollar preference."
Markets continued to adjust to expectations of a more
hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve, amid rising inflationary pressures
and resilient labor market conditions in the world's largest
economy.
"LatAm currencies are the most resilient group in this
context," Yu said. "But if the aim is to attract fresh inflows
to ease onshore financial conditions, regional central banks'
policy decisions may need to lean more hawkish."
The broader MSCI index of Latin American currencies
gained 1.4%, while the equivalent stocks gauge
was up 3.9%, on track for biggest single-day
gain since October 2022.
ARGENTINA RALLIES AFTER S&P UPGRADE
Argentina's stocks jumped 6.8% to record high, while
the peso strengthened 0.2% after credit ratings
agency S&P Global upgraded the country's long-term sovereign
credit ratings to 'B-' from 'CCC+'.
The agency cited Argentina's easing economic vulnerabilities
and gradually improving external liquidity. Peer Fitch had
upgraded its credit ratings for the country in May.
Separate data showed Argentina's monthly inflation slowed to
2.1% in May from 2.6% in April, coming in just below analysts'
expectations of 2.3%.
Brazil's stocks and the real gained 1.7%,
each. The largest Latin American country's services activity
rose more than expected in April from the previous month.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:
Stock indexes Latest Daily % change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1670.82 0.23
MSCI LatAm 2975.29 3.92
Brazil Bovespa 171471.67 1.69
Mexico IPC 66973.79 3.32
Chile IPSA 10753.29 2.9
Argentina MerVal 3372951.32 6.97
Colombia COLCAP 2337.66 3.32
Currencies Latest Daily % change
Brazil real 5.0994 1.66
Mexico peso 17.2507 0.86
Chile peso 901.18 1.28
Colombia peso 3489.52 1.63
Peru sol 3.3982 -0.04
Argentina peso 1,430.5 0.21
(interbank)
Argentina peso (parallel) 1,430.0 1.38