* MSCI EM stocks down 0.3%, FX steady
* Citi lowers South Korea rating to 'neutral'
* China keeps benchmark lending rate unchanged
* Interest rate decisions across EM in spotlight this week
* Fitch affirms ratings on Turkey and Kenya
By Utkarsh Hathi and Johann M Cherian
July 20 (Reuters) - An index tracking emerging market stocks
hit a more than two-month low on Monday as U.S.-Iran hostilities
escalated in the Middle East, while most currencies were flat to
lower against a steady dollar.
Tensions in the Gulf region intensified over the weekend as
U.S. and Iran exchanged more strikes, while Iran said on Monday
that two oil tankers had exploded and been immobilised after
attempting to transit through the Strait of Hormuz - a
critical global oil shipping route.
Brent crude oil futures hovered at around $80 a
barrel, after rising to levels it hit in March at the height of
the conflict. The contract had gained to as much as $91.4 per
barrel early in the session.
"While oil costs are rapidly being passed to consumers, the
response is to cut monthly savings rather than non-oil
consumption. This cannot be sustained indefinitely if oil prices
remain elevated," analysts at UBS said in a note.
MSCI's global EM stocks index edged 0.3% lower and
was at a more than two-month low, while the currencies gauge
was flat against the U.S. dollar.
Uncertainties over the outlook for AI continued to weigh on
Asian markets as investors weighed the outlook for the trade,
with daily moves exacerbated by leveraged bets on semiconductor
companies. Tech-heavy equity benchmarks in South Korea
and Taiwan lost 4.5% and 0.5%, respectively.
Unprecedented volatility in South Korean equities prompted
downgrades from brokerage Citi and by Yardeni Research.
In contrast with broader emerging markets, MSCI's index
tracking Central and Eastern Europe was up
nearly 1%, with Polish and Hungarian benchmarks up
0.8% and 0.6%, respectively.
Hungary's forint firmed 0.6%, finding its footing
after hitting a more than two-month low in the previous session,
while Poland's zloty inched up 0.2%, pinned near its
lowest since November 2024.
Interest rate cut expectations have buoyed Polish stocks,
while the zloty is the worst performer among regional peers.
Hungarian assets are among the best performers in the
region, as investors anticipated reforms following the Tisza
party's win in elections earlier this year.
Energy-laden Romanian equities have soared nearly
42% as the sector benefited from higher crude prices.
Traders are looking forward to a slew of interest rate
decisions out of emerging markets this week.
China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged for a 14th
consecutive month on Monday, in line with market expectations.
South Africa's rand was up 0.1%. June inflation data
on Tuesday could offer clues on the central bank's monetary
policy verdict anticipated later this week. Rate decisions are
also anticipated out of Nigeria and Hungary later this week.
Meanwhile, ratings agency Fitch affirmed its rating on oil
importers Turkey at "BB-" and Kenya at "B-" on Friday, against
the back of surging energy costs that have ballooned import
bills.
(Reporting by Utkarsh Hathi and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru;
Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala)