(Updated at 0910 GMT)
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S&P to wait until August to make key Kenya rating call
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Hungary central banker says July rate cut an "open
question"
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Thailand approves $2.8 bln soft loan scheme for commercial
banks
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S.Africa to cut interest rates in September, Poll shows
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Stocks off 0.2%, FX flat
By Johann M Cherian
July 16 (Reuters) - Most emerging markets stocks and
currencies were flat to slightly lower on Tuesday, as investors
awaited details on reforms out of China and assessed the
implications of a second Donald Trump presidency in the U.S.
MSCI's index tracking bourses in developing economies
slipped 0.2%.
China's Shanghai stock index closed flat, while Hong
Kong stocks notched its second-straight day in losses.
Caution loomed with the 'Third Plenum' under way, at the end of
which markets expect the Communist Party to outline reforms to
support the local embattled economy.
Investors were also focused on the fallout on inflation and
trade in developing economies if former President Donald Trump
wins a second term.
"It would be perfectly reasonable to argue that Trump 2.0
would be negative for export oriented EM economies, in
particular those that rely strongly on China," Piotr Matys,
senior FX analyst at In Touch Capital Markets.
Matys said Trump's fiscal policies are seen as inflationary,
which would limit scope for manoeuvre for the Federal Reserve.
An index tracking currencies was not trading
far from the flat mark. The index has been trading tepidly over
the past six weeks as uncertainty looms on the timing of the
interest-rate cut.
In central and eastern Europe, Hungary's forint
was flat relative to the euro. A possible further small
reduction in Hungary's base rate is an "open question" for the
central bank at its policy meeting next week, Deputy Governor
Barnabas Virag said.
South Africa's rand edged up 0.2%, from a 1.4% drop
in the previous session. A Reuters poll showed the domestic
central bank might cut rates by 25 basis points in September as
inflation cools.
Kenya's shilling weakened 0.3% against the euro,
while yield on 5-year sovereign bonds climbed 15
basis points (bps).
Ratings agency S&P Global said it plans to wait until a
scheduled review date on Aug. 23 to decide whether to cut the
east-African nation's sovereign credit rating.
Against the backdrop of a slow economic recovery, Thailand's
cabinet approved a $2.8 billion soft loan scheme where
commercial banks could lend to borrowers at below-market rates.
The baht was flat against the dollar, while local
equities lost 0.5%.
A stress test of banking systems in Zambia, Ghana, Rwanda,
Morocco and Mauritius found some lenders in the region could
face collapse if nature loss slashes the profits of agriculture
and forestry firms they have lent to.
Rwanada's franc was muted against the euro, as
early results from presidential elections put incumbent Paul
Kagame in the lead, while Syria's pound was flat,
with parliamentary elections expected to yield few surprises.