* Elections in Hungary and Peru could sway investor
sentiment
* Ceasefires in Middle East and Ukraine boost emerging
market assets, inflows resume
* IMF and World Bank may provide war-related financial
support
By Johann M Cherian
April 10 (Reuters) - Benchmark indexes for emerging
market currencies and stocks rose on Friday, with equities set
for their strongest weekly gains in more than five years on
relief over a two-week ceasefire in the Middle East.
Emerging Europe and Latin America are bracing for weekend
elections in Hungary and Peru that could be pivotal for how
investors perceive the two countries as investment destinations
in the years ahead.
Hungary's forint was steady at 376 per euro, while
local stocks gained 0.9%.
Sunday's elections in Hungary pose the biggest threat so far
to nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban's 16-year rule as
centre-right opposition party Tisza leads in most polls.
Orban has cut taxes and hiked wages to placate voters in an
economy that lags its peers. He has also angered much of Europe
by blocking loans to Ukraine.
A win for Tisza's Peter Magyar could help Hungary access
some of the 18 billion euros ($21 billion) of European Union
funds that have been frozen due to concerns over democratic
backsliding.
Both the forint and local stocks have outperformed regional
peers this year and investors say a clear win for Magyar could
fuel a further rally.
"While Tisza's commitment to unlock EU funds and a credible
euro adoption plan may help further narrow Hungarian risk
premiums if it wins, market reactions may depend on whether the
new government secures a mandate strong enough to amend laws
cemented in by supermajority (a two-thirds parliamentary
majority)," Eszter Gárgyán, an FX Strategist, CEE at UniCredit
said in a note.
EYES ON MIDEAST AND UKRAINE
MSCI's index tracking emerging markets stocks
added 0.9% and is on track for the biggest weekly rise since
June 2020. Asian stocks particularly benefited
and are set for their steepest weekly gain since 2011.
Flows into emerging market equities resumed this week, with
funds witnessing $3.5 billion of inflows, according to BofA
Global Research. MSCI's broader currencies index
was steady, on track for its biggest weekly gain in a year.
Heading into the weekend, investors were hopeful that the
two-week ceasefire in the Middle East could give way to a
lasting deal between the U.S.-Israel and Iran following talks in
Pakistan on Saturday.
However, nervousness was visible as crude prices
rose nearly 2% and crude shipments through the strategic Strait
of Hormuz were at a snail's pace.
The International Monetary Fund said that near-term demand
for financial support to offset the repercussions of the war
could rise to between $20 billion to $50 billion, while a report
said the World Bank Group could mobilize $20 billion to $25
billion in rapid financing.
Inflation pressures due to the conflict helped factory-gate
prices in China rise for the first time in more than three years
in March, although economists warn that higher costs not
stemming from demand could weigh on growth.
The yuan was steady, having gained nearly 1% earlier
this week, while benchmark stocks added 1.5%
and 0.5% on Friday.
Geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia also showed
signs of cooling as Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a
32-hour ceasefire over a two-day period for Orthodox Easter.
Ukraine's hard-currency bonds
added over 1 cent on the
dollar as traders pinned their hopes on discussions between
Russia's special envoy Kirill Dmitriev - currently in the U.S.
to discuss a peace deal with members of the U.S. Trump
administration.
In Latin America, the focus will be on Peruvian elections on
Sunday.
The sol was flat in light trading. Peruvian stocks
are among the best performing in the region
this year, aided by strong economic growth.