*
Polish cenbank expected to hold main interest rate at
5.75%
*
South Africa business activity contracts in March: PMI
*
India's rupee hits record low
*
EM stocks add 0.5%, FX up 0.1%
By Bansari Mayur Kamdar
April 4 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks and
currencies gained on Thursday, feeding off optimism on U.S. rate
cuts, while the zloty was little changed ahead of the National
Bank of Poland's decision on interest rates.
The zloty was flat against the euro by 0820 GMT
ahead of the Polish central bank's decision where it is expected
to hold the main interest rate at 5.75%.
The currency of Central and Eastern European (CEE) peer
Romania, whose National Bank of Romania (NBR) is also
expected to announce its rate decision later in the day, slipped
0.1% against the euro.
"Investors will be looking for any fresh clues when the NBR
may join its CEE peers and start cutting rates," said Piotr
Matys, senior FX analyst at In Touch Capital Markets.
Matys added that they will also be looking for cues on "when
the NBP may resume its easing cycle paused after the opposition,
led by the Civic Platform, came to power following the October
general election."
Overall, the MSCI's index for emerging market stocks
rose 0.5% after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell reaffirmed U.S. interest rates were still on course to be
cut this year.
The currencies index edged 0.1% higher as
the dollar retreated ahead of this week's crucial U.S. labour
data.
Emerging market currencies are forecast to drift higher over
the coming year, but much depends on the Fed delivering interest
rate cuts starting around mid-year, according to FX analysts
polled by Reuters.
In Africa, the South African rand rose 0.4% against a
weaker dollar, shrugging of data showing private sector activity
contracted in March as stronger price pressures and drought
conditions affected customer demand.
Tanzania's central bank raised its key interest rate to 6.0%
on Thursday from 5.5%.
China, Hong Kong and Taiwan markets are closed for holidays
in Asia.
South Korea's benchmark KOSPI recovered 1.3%, led by
chipmakers and automakers, after ending Wednesday's session
lower on concerns around the U.S. interest rate path and as an
earthquake in Taiwan sparked concerns about possible disruptions
to the chipmaking industry.
The Bank of Korea is considering overhauling how it provides
guidance on the likely future path of interest rates by
extending the time-frame and giving visual estimates in a bid to
boost transparency, said four sources familiar with the issue.
India's rupee hit a record low against the greenback,
as sustained dollar demand from local importers and high crude
oil prices weighed.
The rupee's exchange rate will not be affected by the recent
volatility in the currency's exchange-traded derivatives, which
was sparked by traders unwinding positions to comply with a
central bank rule, four bankers told Reuters.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Czech crown expected to be top gainer in CEE - POLL
** Asian FX bears firm as investors mull timeline of US rate
cuts - POLL
** China, Hong Kong, Taiwan markets closed for holidays