* MSCI EM stocks soar 6.6%, FX up 0.3%
* KOSPI records worst month in 18 years
* Poland's July inflation in line with expectations
By Utkarsh Hathi
July 31 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks were heading on
Friday for their biggest single-day jump since the 2008
financial crisis after a relief rally in Asian chipmakers, while
currencies were mixed against a steady dollar.
MSCI's global EM equities index climbed 6.6%,
rebounding from a three-month low but stayed on track for
monthly losses.
A rebound in global tech stocks lifted market sentiment,
with Wall Street's Nasdaq rising 2.8% overnight, led by
a surge in shares of Microsoft ( MSFT ) that boosted its stock
value by $450 billion.
Wild swings in South Korea's chip-heavy KOSPI have
sent emerging market equities on a rollercoaster ride in recent
weeks, as investors switched from enthusiasm at the AI boom to
concerns that higher valuations and spending may not generate
returns.
The KOSPI soared 18%, though it saw its worst month since
October 2008, while Taiwan's tech-heavy advanced 8%.
Uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's policy path has also
returned to the spotlight this week after Chair Kevin Warsh
offered little guidance on the outlook for interest rates.
Markets now price a 63% chance of a September rate hike,
according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
"Our expectation is for the Fed to undershoot market
expectations on rate hikes," said Nick Rees, head of macro
research at Monex.
"We expect to see some of the downside pressure removed that
could have otherwise weighed on emerging market FX, so we see
the dollar slipping and emerging market currencies specifically
benefiting from that dynamic."
The MSCI global EM currencies gauge rose
0.3%, and looked set to end the month up 2%.
Barclays analysts noted that inflows in EM bond funds slowed
in the week, while fund flow momentum in equities stayed
strong.
Investor sentiment in emerging Europe was mixed, with Polish
stocks gaining 0.5%, while Hungarian benchmark and
energy-laden Romanian equities slipped 0.2% and 0.3%,
respectively.
Equities in Poland and Hungary have been supported by easing
inflation and rate cuts from central banks recently.
Poland's July inflation was in line with expectations, data
showed on Thursday. The Polish zloty edged 0.2% lower
against the euro, and Hungarian forint slipped 0.8%.
The broader Central and Eastern Europe equities
also rose to stand 8% up for the month,
outperforming broader EM stocks weighed down by higher crude
prices after renewed escalation in the Middle East.
Oil prices were heading for their first monthly gain in
four, though they eased 0.2% on Friday as traders weighed signs
of growing supplies after Saudi Arabia said it would lead a
coalition to boost defence cooperation on key maritime
chokepoints.
Asian currencies were mixed against the dollar, while South
Africa's rand was muted.
The Turkish lira slipped 0.3%.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** China's factory activity shrinks in July as demand falters,
fuelling slowdown concerns
** Indonesia's trade deficit likely narrowed in June to $790
million
** Drone strike at Egypt port near Suez Canal ignites new
shipping risks
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