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EM stocks down 0.19%; FX down 0.1%
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Thai court sacks PM
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Polish August CPI lower than expected
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India's rupee at record low
By Pranav Kashyap
Aug 29 (Reuters) - A gauge tracking emerging market
equities was poised to gain for the eighth straight month, while
assets in Thailand dropped on Friday after the country's
Constitutional Court dismissed Prime Minister Paetongtarn
Shinawatra.
Stocks in Bangkok fell as much as 1.5%. The baht
slipped 0.3%.
"Our preliminary assessment is that there could be a
short-term negative impact on the market sentiment because now
it's still quite uncertain how the politicians will choose the
new prime minister," said Rakpong Chaisuparakul, senior vice
president of investment strategy at KGI Securities.
Meanwhile, Indonesian stocks were set to log their
steepest intraday loss in over two months, while the rupiah
was on course for its worst day in over four months as
escalating political protests in Jakarta rattled investor
confidence.
In India, the rupee's slide underscores rising
anxiety over fresh U.S. trade levies that threaten to dent
growth and the fallout of escalating trade tensions. It is
poised for its steepest weekly drop in nearly four months and
has breached the 88-per-dollar mark for the first time.
The MSCI gauge for equities in emerging markets
fell 0.19%, but was set to log its eighth monthly gain - the
longest winning monthly streak since August 2017.
In central and eastern Europe, Polish stocks were
on course to log their first monthly decline this year and could
snap their record eight month winning streak.
Polish inflation eased more than forecast in August,
although it was somewhat offset by projections for a higher than
expected budget deficit in 2026.
The zloty was poised to log its longest weekly
losing streak in eight months against the euro.
A gauge tracking the region's equities was
also poised to log its first monthly loss this year.
The momentum has largely been driven by developments in the
Ukraine war and U.S. President Donald Trump's peace efforts.
"We have been cautious about the possibility of a rapid
resolution of the Ukraine-Russia war and its macro implications
for CEE economies," Murat Toprak, CEEMEA FX strategist
at HSBC, said.
"That said, we are cognisant that hopes around a ceasefire
and peace agreement can occasionally have positive effects."
Elsewhere, Turkey's lira was on course to log a 15th
consecutive month of losses, its longest monthly losing streak
since November 2000.
"If U.S. rate cuts are delivered in a predictable manner and
preserve a sizeable positive real interest rate buffer, the lira
should remain attractive from a carry perspective," Toprak
added.
Turkish stocks, meanwhile, were headed for
third-straight month of gains.
Stocks in South Africa were poised to log their
longest monthly winning streak in over 13 years, while Chinese
equities were set to post their biggest
monthly jump since September 2024.
Analysts have noted that with the Federal Reserve's
independence under scrutiny, the dollar sliding, and
labour market data flashing warning signs, investors have
diversified their portfolios and emerging markets could
potentially be in vogue as investors flee a shaky U.S. outlook.
** Egypt central bank slashes key interest rates by 200 bps
** Russia eyes China trade revival as Putin prepares for Xi
summit-sources
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