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EM stocks flat overall
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Turkey rate decision due at 1100 GMT
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Romania inflation 9.85% y/y in August
By Pranav Kashyap and Twesha Dikshit
Sept 11 (Reuters) - Turkish markets nervously awaited a
rate decision at 1100 GMT on Thursday, while other emerging
market stocks rose slightly.
The lira slipped and Istanbul stocks were
marginally higher as traders waited for a decision on a likely
200-basis-point cut with hotter-than-expected inflation and
growth limiting the central bank's room for manoeuvre.
Political jitters have also increased since a court last
week removed the Istanbul provincial chief of the opposition CHP
party - an echo of past flare-ups that spurred flights from
Turkish assets.
In the last exodus, rates were raised to steady the lira,
but analysts were mostly not inclined to expect a repeat, with
the key one-week repo rate currently at 43%.
"There is a risk if they cut too quickly, that may trigger
some concerns about monetary policy credibility, therefore the
central bank has to be careful," said Jon Harrison, managing
director of EM macro strategy at TS Lombard.
"I don't think the political situation is serious enough to
warrant another withdrawal of foreign investors."
Romania's leu was flat against the euro, while
Bucharest's main index was also flat as investors
digested a hotter-than-expected inflation reading. Consumer
prices rose 9.85% year-on-year in August from 7.84% in July,
boosted by tax hikes.
The U.N. Security Council was scheduled to hold an emergency
meeting at Poland's behest to address Russia's violation of
Polish airspace, a day after Poland shot down multiple Russian
drones that had encroached overnight.
Warsaw's benchmark stock index added 0.7% while the
zloty was little changed.
CHINA STOCKS RISE
China was trying to tackle the backlog of unpaid bills owed
by local governments to the private sector, estimated to be over
$1 trillion, by asking state lenders and policy banks to lend to
local authorities, a Bloomberg News report said.
The CSI 300 index and SSE Composite index
jumped 2.3% and 1.6%, respectively, while most other Asian
markets were up after widely pricing in a U.S. Federal Reserve
rate cut next week.
A gauge tracking global emerging market stocks
surrendered early gains to stand flat, backing off a four-year
high, even as investors rotate into higher-yielding EM assets.
A softer dollar, pressured by expectations of a Fed cut and
cracks in the labour market, has burnished the appeal of EM
currencies, while political noise around Fed independence has
dented confidence in U.S. assets.
In the year to date, MSCI's Eastern Europe share index
is up more than 46%, trouncing the S&P 500's
11%.
Investors poured nearly $45 billion into EM assets in
August, the biggest haul in about a year, but sizable outflows
from ex-China equities hinted at appetite cooling, a banking
trade group reported.
Elsewhere, Thai consumer confidence dropped for a seventh
consecutive month in August to its lowest level in 32 months due
to concerns about a slow economic recovery, political
instability and U.S. tariffs.
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