* South Africa expected to keep rates steady
* Poland weighs VAT cut for fuel
* EM stocks fall 1.6%, FX down 0.4%
By Pranav Kashyap
March 26 (Reuters) - Most emerging market stocks
retreated sharply on Thursday as investors fled riskier assets
and waited for clearer signs on whether a de-escalation in the
Iran war was truly within reach.
U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran was eager to strike a
deal after nearly four weeks of fighting, a claim that stood in
stark contrast to comments from Iran's foreign minister, who
said Tehran was reviewing a U.S. proposal but had no plans to
enter talks aimed at winding down the conflict.
"Market attention is quickly turning to the end of Trump's
5-day deadline," Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said. "There's still
plenty of doubt.. given how Iran have publicly rejected the US
on several occasions."
In South Africa, stocks tumbled nearly 2%, while
the rand weakened 0.4% ahead of the central bank's
interest-rate decision, where policymakers are widely expected
to leave the rates unchanged at 6.75%.
That anticipated pause comes as annual inflation eases back
toward the central bank's target, but economic growth remains
sluggish.
The path for rates will be closely watched as policymakers
try to revive momentum without reigniting price pressures,
especially as an energy-driven inflation shock keeps the South
African Reserve Bank - and many of its emerging-market peers -
in an increasingly uncomfortable bind.
Mexico's central bank is also expected to stand pat later in
the day.
A broad index tracking emerging-market equities
dropped 1.6%, wiping out much of the previous session's rebound.
The index is down more than 10% this month and now clings to
gains of just 3% for the year, surrendering much of the strong
start it enjoyed early on.
"Despite recent volatility from geopolitical tensions and
higher oil prices, we maintain a constructive outlook on EM
equities," UBS analysts said.
Poland's zloty attempted to edge higher but was
stuck in a narrow range, while stocks fell as investors
weighed the prospect of a fuel tax cut aimed at easing prices at
the pump - a move in a country that is already grappling with
one of the European Union's widest budget deficits.
Other central and eastern European currencies were similarly
subdued.
Hungary, on Wednesday, said it would gradually halt natural
gas shipments to Ukraine until crude flows through the Druzhba
pipeline resume. Kyiv's international dollar bonds slipped by
about a cent.
From Warsaw to New Delhi, Sao Paulo to Seoul, governments
across the emerging world have been scrambling to shield their
economies from the fallout of a war that is nearing the
one-month mark.
With the crucial Strait of Hormuz shut, oil prices have
surged wildly, rattling markets and forcing a dramatic rethink
among emerging-market central banks.
At the start of the year, a few, like Hungary and Brazil
were preparing to cut interest rates. Now, with war-fuelled
inflation risks mounting, they are being forced to consider
whether the next move may need to be in the opposite direction.
(Reporting by Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun
Koyyur)