Feb 6 (Reuters) - Euro area government bond yields edged
higher on Thursday as investors awaited the Bank of England's
policy decision while weighing concerns about U.S. tariffs and
their impact on European Central Bank monetary policy.
The BoE is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points
and provide some guidance about the easing cycle outlook.
Euro zone borrowing costs hit multi-week lows on Wednesday
amid concerns that potential U.S. tariffs could have a
deflationary effect on the European economy and prompt the ECB
to deepen its easing cycle.
Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for
the euro zone bloc, rose one bp to 2.37% on Thursday after
hitting 2.345% the day before, its lowest since Jan. 2.
"While we are not expecting today's BoE meeting to be a
significant near-term market mover, not least given wider market
volatility and with payrolls tomorrow, it could still help set
up for a dovish pivot later," said Jamie Searle, European rate
strategist at Citi, referring to Friday's U.S. jobs data.
Investors have focused more on economic data since U.S.
President Donald Trump paused the announced tariffs on Canada
and Mexico. U.S. job figures on Friday could provide more clues
on the Federal Reserve policy path.
"The outcome for Europe remains uncertain," said Rune Thyge
Johansen, an economist at Danske Bank, referring to possible
U.S. tariffs on imports from Europe.
"We anticipate a limited short-term growth impact in the
euro area. Yet, the risks are clearly tilted toward a more
negative effect as tensions could escalate."
Some analysts said the demand shock facing euro zone
exporters in the event of higher U.S. tariffs was likely more
significant than the inflationary effect of potential European
Union retaliatory tariffs.
Money markets priced in an ECB deposit facility rate at
1.91% in December from 1.85% on Wednesday.
Germany's two-year bond yield, more sensitive to
ECB rate expectations, was up 2 bps at 2.057%.
The yield spread between OATs and Bunds - a
market gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold French
debt - was at 70.5 bps after French Prime Minister Francois
Bayrou on Wednesday survived two no-confidence votes in
parliament, paving the way for the adoption of a much-delayed
2025 budget seen as key to cutting France's crippling debts.
The yields gap hit 69.60 bps on Wednesday, its tightest
level since October 31. It widened to around 90 bps, its highest
since 2012, in mid-January and end-November amid fears that
France would be unable to cut its growing budget deficit.
Italy's 10-year yield rose 0.5 bps at 3.45%, and
the spread between Italian and German yields stood
at 107 bps.