(Updates in late European trading)
LONDON, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell
sharply on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced
tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China and threatened more on
Europe, pushing investors towards the safety of bonds on fears
of a widespread trade war.
Yields retraced some of their drop later in the European
session, however, when Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and
Trump announced tariffs on Mexico would be paused for a month.
Germany's 10-year yield fell as much as 10 basis
points to 2.359%, its lowest since Jan. 3, but last traded six
bps lower at 2.398%. Yields move inversely to prices.
"On tariffs, the market is reading this as disinflationary.
It sees this as a hit to economic growth in Canada and Europe,"
said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate research, FX and rates at
Societe Generale.
On Sunday, Trump indicated the European Union would be next
to face U.S. tariffs, but did not say when.
"He has said Europe would not escape tariffs, we are waiting
for that," said Broux, who added the market moves reflected "a
flight to quality and favourable inflation data cement(ing) the
case for ECB rate cuts".
Markets breathed relief after Sheinbaum's and Trump's
comments, with stocks recovering some lost ground and the
Mexican peso and Canadian dollar rebounding sharply.
Market watchers were also digesting the latest euro zone
inflation print, which showed prices accelerating slightly last
month, but remaining on an anticipated course that could allow
the ECB to cut rates further, possibly as soon as March.
It confirms soft inflation prints out of France and Germany
on Friday.
The ECB cut borrowing costs for the fourth straight meeting
last Thursday.
Traders on Monday were pricing in about 90 bps of further
ECB interest rate cuts this year - taking rates to roughly 1.85%
- compared to 80 bps of easing priced on Friday.
Germany's two-year bond yield was last down six
bps at 2.055%, after falling to 2.01% earlier in the session,
the lowest since Dec. 20.
Italy's 10-year yield was five bps lower at
3.512%, while France's 10-year yield was eight bps
lower at 3.126%.
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou said on Monday he was
using special constitutional powers to pass the 2025 budget
bill, a move likely to trigger a no-confidence vote that will
decide whether his minority government survives.
The euro was last down 0.5% at $1.0311, after
earlier dropping as low as $1.0125.